MatchWiz

Bundesliga Match Board — Sunday, October 18, 2026

Every Bundesliga match on Sunday, October 18, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

2026-27 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 39 of 45 on ML, 18 of 45 on Over 2.5, 39 of 45 on BTTS.

Sunday, October 18

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
9:30 AM ET
Proj2.5–1.5
Match page →
B04Bayer LeverkusenHOME58%2.5proj-141fair-132mkt+1.5%
Draw20%—proj+399fair+356mkt-1.9%
SCFSC FreiburgAWAY21%1.5proj+365fair+374mkt+0.4%
O2.5 76%BTTS 72%1H O1.5 54%
11:30 AM ET
Proj2.1–1.9
Match page →
BMGBorussia MönchengladbachHOME43%2.1proj+132fair+250mktModel lean+14.4%
Draw22%—proj+356fair+334mkt-1.1%
TSGTSG HoffenheimAWAY35%1.9proj+185fair+106mkt-13.4%
O2.5 77%BTTS 76%1H O1.5 54%

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).