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Bundesliga 1+ Shots Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Bundesliga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1Bayern Munich
    Harry Kane
    Bayern Munich5–1VfB Stuttgart
    Fri 2:30 PM
    98%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -5153
    ✓ 2
  2. 2Bayern Munich
    Luis Díaz
    Bayern Munich5–1VfB Stuttgart
    Fri 2:30 PM
    97%
    Books -10000
    -1.6%MatchWiz -3795
    ✓ 6
  3. 3Bayern Munich
    Michael Olise
    Bayern Munich5–1VfB Stuttgart
    Fri 2:30 PM
    95%
    Books -10000
    -4.2%MatchWiz -1820
    ✓ 6
  4. 4VfB Stuttgart
    Deniz Undav
    VfB Stuttgart1–5Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    94%
    Books -3000
    -2.7%MatchWiz -1579
    ✗ 0
  5. 5Bayern Munich
    Serge Gnabry
    Bayern Munich5–1VfB Stuttgart
    Fri 2:30 PM
    91%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -1063
    DNP
  6. 6VfB Stuttgart
    Jamie Leweling
    VfB Stuttgart1–5Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    88%
    Books -425
    +6.8%MatchWiz -718
    ✗ 0
  7. 7VfB Stuttgart
    Ermedin Demirovic
    VfB Stuttgart1–5Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    85%
    Books -750
    -3.0%MatchWiz -577
    ✓ 2
  8. 8Bayern Munich
    Jamal Musiala
    Bayern Munich5–1VfB Stuttgart
    Fri 2:30 PM
    83%
    Books -7000
    -16.1%MatchWiz -471
    DNP
  9. 9Bayern Munich
    Joshua Kimmich
    Bayern Munich5–1VfB Stuttgart
    Fri 2:30 PM
    81%
    Books -400
    +0.7%MatchWiz -418
    ✗ 0
  10. 10
    Eric Dier
    —v—
    Fri 2:30 PM
    80%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -398
    DNP
  11. 11Bayern Munich
    Sacha Boey
    Bayern Munich5–1VfB Stuttgart
    Fri 2:30 PM
    80%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -393
    DNP
  12. 12Bayern Munich
    Thomas Müller
    Bayern Munich5–1VfB Stuttgart
    Fri 2:30 PM
    78%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -348
    DNP
  13. 13Bayern Munich
    Lennart Karl
    Bayern Munich5–1VfB Stuttgart
    Fri 2:30 PM
    77%
    Books -10000
    -21.6%MatchWiz -342
    ✗ 0
  14. 14
    Leroy Sané
    —v—
    Fri 2:30 PM
    75%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -301
    DNP
  15. 15Bayern Munich
    Konrad Laimer
    Bayern Munich5–1VfB Stuttgart
    Fri 2:30 PM
    74%
    Books -475
    -8.2%MatchWiz -291
    ✓ 1
  16. 16Bayern Munich
    Tom Bischof
    Bayern Munich5–1VfB Stuttgart
    Fri 2:30 PM
    72%
    Books -1250
    -20.8%MatchWiz -255
    ✗ 0
  17. 17
    Nick Woltemade
    —v—
    Fri 2:30 PM
    70%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -236
    DNP
  18. 18
    Leon Goretzka
    —v—
    Fri 2:30 PM
    69%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -220
    DNP
  19. 19VfB Stuttgart
    Chema Andrés
    VfB Stuttgart1–5Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    68%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -215
    ✗ 0
  20. 20VfB Stuttgart
    Bilal El Khannouss
    VfB Stuttgart1–5Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    68%
    Books -800
    -20.9%MatchWiz -213
    ✗ 0
  21. 21
    Anthony Rouault
    —v—
    Fri 2:30 PM
    67%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -206
    DNP
  22. 22VfB Stuttgart
    Enzo Millot
    VfB Stuttgart1–5Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    63%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -167
    DNP
  23. 23VfB Stuttgart
    Pascal Stenzel
    VfB Stuttgart1–5Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    62%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -166
    DNP
  24. 24VfB Stuttgart
    Angelo Stiller
    VfB Stuttgart1–5Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    58%
    Books +100
    +7.9%MatchWiz -137
    ✗ 0
  25. 25Bayern Munich
    Dayot Upamecano
    Bayern Munich5–1VfB Stuttgart
    Fri 2:30 PM
    57%
    Books -180
    -7.5%MatchWiz -131
    ✓ 1
  26. 26VfB Stuttgart
    Nikolas Nartey
    VfB Stuttgart1–5Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    57%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -130
    DNP
  27. 27VfB Stuttgart
    Atakan Karazor
    VfB Stuttgart1–5Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    56%
    Books +100
    +5.8%MatchWiz -126
    DNP
  28. 28Bayern Munich
    Josip Stanisic
    Bayern Munich5–1VfB Stuttgart
    Fri 2:30 PM
    54%
    Books -260
    -18.5%MatchWiz -116
    ✗ 0
  29. 29Bayern Munich
    Jonathan Tah
    Bayern Munich5–1VfB Stuttgart
    Fri 2:30 PM
    53%
    Books -180
    -11.7%MatchWiz -111
    ✗ 0
  30. 30Bayern Munich
    Kingsley Coman
    Bayern Munich5–1VfB Stuttgart
    Fri 2:30 PM
    51%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -104
    DNP
  31. 31Bayern Munich
    Raphaël Guerreiro
    Bayern Munich5–1VfB Stuttgart
    Fri 2:30 PM
    51%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -103
    DNP
  32. 32Bayern Munich
    Kim Min-Jae
    Bayern Munich5–1VfB Stuttgart
    Fri 2:30 PM
    50%
    Books -170
    -13.0%MatchWiz -100
    ✗ 0
  33. 33VfB Stuttgart
    Tiago Tomás
    VfB Stuttgart1–5Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    45%
    Books -1500
    -48.6%MatchWiz +121
    ✓ 2
  34. 34VfB Stuttgart
    Josha Vagnoman
    VfB Stuttgart1–5Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    44%
    Books -320
    -31.9%MatchWiz +126
    ✓ 1
  35. 35VfB Stuttgart
    Maximilian Mittelstädt
    VfB Stuttgart1–5Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    44%
    Books -270
    -29.0%MatchWiz +127
    ✓ 2
  36. 36VfB Stuttgart
    Jeff Chabot
    VfB Stuttgart1–5Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    44%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +130
    ✓ 1
  37. 37Bayern Munich
    Alphonso Davies
    Bayern Munich5–1VfB Stuttgart
    Fri 2:30 PM
    43%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +131
    ✗ 0
  38. 38VfB Stuttgart
    Leonidas Stergiou
    VfB Stuttgart1–5Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    42%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +137
    ✗ 0
  39. 39VfB Stuttgart
    Luca Jaquez
    VfB Stuttgart1–5Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    40%
    Books +115
    -6.2%MatchWiz +148
    DNP
  40. 40VfB Stuttgart
    Ameen Al Dakhil
    VfB Stuttgart1–5Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    39%
    Books +105
    -9.4%MatchWiz +154
    DNP
  41. 41VfB Stuttgart
    Finn Jeltsch
    VfB Stuttgart1–5Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    39%
    Books +135
    -3.6%MatchWiz +156
    ✗ 0
  42. 42Bayern Munich
    Aleksandar Pavlovic
    Bayern Munich5–1VfB Stuttgart
    Fri 2:30 PM
    38%
    Books -330
    -38.3%MatchWiz +160
    ✓ 3
  43. 43VfB Stuttgart
    Badredine Bouanani
    VfB Stuttgart1–5Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    38%
    Books -700
    -50.0%MatchWiz +166
    DNP
  44. 44VfB Stuttgart
    Ramon Hendriks
    VfB Stuttgart1–5Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    37%
    Books +165
    -0.4%MatchWiz +168
    ✗ 0
  45. 45
    Nicolas Jackson
    —v—
    Fri 2:30 PM
    35%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +187
    DNP
  46. 46VfB Stuttgart
    Chris Führich
    VfB Stuttgart1–5Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    25%
    Books -550
    -59.4%MatchWiz +296
    DNP
  47. 47VfB Stuttgart
    Lorenz Assignon
    VfB Stuttgart1–5Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    16%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +520
    DNP
  48. 48Bayern Munich
    Jonas Urbig
    Bayern Munich5–1VfB Stuttgart
    Fri 2:30 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP
  49. 49Bayern Munich
    Manuel Neuer
    Bayern Munich5–1VfB Stuttgart
    Fri 2:30 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    ✗ 0
  50. 50VfB Stuttgart
    Alexander Nübel
    VfB Stuttgart1–5Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).