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Bundesliga 1+ Shots Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Bundesliga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1Borussia Dortmund
    Serhou Guirassy
    Borussia Dortmund2–2Werder Bremen
    Fri 2:30 PM
    98%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -4121
    ✓ 2
  2. 2Borussia Dortmund
    Maximilian Beier
    Borussia Dortmund2–2Werder Bremen
    Fri 2:30 PM
    95%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -1727
    ✓ 3
  3. 3Borussia Dortmund
    Samuele Inácio
    Borussia Dortmund2–2Werder Bremen
    Fri 2:30 PM
    92%
    Books -10000
    -6.9%MatchWiz -1163
    DNP
  4. 4Borussia Dortmund
    Konstantinos Karetsas
    Borussia Dortmund2–2Werder Bremen
    Fri 2:30 PM
    84%
    Books -10000
    -15.5%MatchWiz -507
    ✗ 0
  5. 5Werder Bremen
    Niclas Füllkrug
    Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Dortmund
    Fri 2:30 PM
    83%
    Books -800
    -5.5%MatchWiz -500
    ✓ 2
  6. 6Borussia Dortmund
    Julian Brandt
    Borussia Dortmund2–2Werder Bremen
    Fri 2:30 PM
    83%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -481
    DNP
  7. 7Borussia Dortmund
    Felix Nmecha
    Borussia Dortmund2–2Werder Bremen
    Fri 2:30 PM
    80%
    Books -1500
    -13.7%MatchWiz -401
    ✗ 0
  8. 8Werder Bremen
    Marco Grüll
    Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Dortmund
    Fri 2:30 PM
    80%
    Books -600
    -6.0%MatchWiz -394
    ✓ 1
  9. 9Borussia Dortmund
    Jobe Bellingham
    Borussia Dortmund2–2Werder Bremen
    Fri 2:30 PM
    76%
    Books -650
    -10.9%MatchWiz -312
    ✓ 1
  10. 10
    Aaron Anselmino
    —v—
    Fri 2:30 PM
    75%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -307
    DNP
  11. 11Borussia Dortmund
    Joey Veerman
    Borussia Dortmund2–2Werder Bremen
    Fri 2:30 PM
    74%
    Books -750
    -14.6%MatchWiz -280
    ✗ 0
  12. 12Werder Bremen
    Justin Njinmah
    Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Dortmund
    Fri 2:30 PM
    72%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -259
    DNP
  13. 13Borussia Dortmund
    Ethan Nwaneri
    Borussia Dortmund2–2Werder Bremen
    Fri 2:30 PM
    71%
    Books -7000
    -27.4%MatchWiz -247
    ✓ 3
  14. 14Werder Bremen
    Marvin Ducksch
    Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Dortmund
    Fri 2:30 PM
    71%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -246
    DNP
  15. 15Werder Bremen
    Jens Stage
    Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Dortmund
    Fri 2:30 PM
    69%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -220
    DNP
  16. 16Werder Bremen
    Chuki
    Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Dortmund
    Fri 2:30 PM
    67%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -200
    ✗ 0
  17. 17
    Romano Schmid
    —v—
    Fri 2:30 PM
    65%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -190
    DNP
  18. 18Borussia Dortmund
    Nico Schlotterbeck
    Borussia Dortmund2–2Werder Bremen
    Fri 2:30 PM
    65%
    Books -900
    -25.4%MatchWiz -183
    ✓ 4
  19. 19
    Pascal Gross
    —v—
    Fri 2:30 PM
    64%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -181
    DNP
  20. 20Werder Bremen
    Keke Topp
    Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Dortmund
    Fri 2:30 PM
    64%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -181
    DNP
  21. 21Borussia Dortmund
    Emre Can
    Borussia Dortmund2–2Werder Bremen
    Fri 2:30 PM
    64%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -174
    DNP
  22. 22Werder Bremen
    Ludovit Reis
    Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Dortmund
    Fri 2:30 PM
    61%
    Books -240
    -9.7%MatchWiz -156
    ✓ 3
  23. 23Werder Bremen
    Cameron Puertas
    Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Dortmund
    Fri 2:30 PM
    60%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -151
    DNP
  24. 24Werder Bremen
    Jovan Milosevic
    Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Dortmund
    Fri 2:30 PM
    58%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -140
    DNP
  25. 25Werder Bremen
    Senne Lynen
    Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Dortmund
    Fri 2:30 PM
    53%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -113
    DNP
  26. 26
    Yukinari Sugawara
    —v—
    Fri 2:30 PM
    51%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -103
    DNP
  27. 27Borussia Dortmund
    Luca Reggiani
    Borussia Dortmund2–2Werder Bremen
    Fri 2:30 PM
    51%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -103
    DNP
  28. 28Werder Bremen
    Leonardo Bittencourt
    Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Dortmund
    Fri 2:30 PM
    49%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +105
    DNP
  29. 29
    André Silva
    —v—
    Fri 2:30 PM
    48%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +109
    DNP
  30. 30Werder Bremen
    Mitchell Weiser
    Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Dortmund
    Fri 2:30 PM
    48%
    Books -280
    -26.1%MatchWiz +110
    ✗ 0
  31. 31
    Youri Regeer
    —v—
    Fri 2:30 PM
    46%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +118
    ✗ 0
  32. 32Borussia Dortmund
    Waldemar Anton
    Borussia Dortmund2–2Werder Bremen
    Fri 2:30 PM
    46%
    Books -145
    -13.4%MatchWiz +118
    ✓ 1
  33. 33Borussia Dortmund
    Daniel Svensson
    Borussia Dortmund2–2Werder Bremen
    Fri 2:30 PM
    45%
    Books -155
    -15.3%MatchWiz +120
    ✓ 1
  34. 34Borussia Dortmund
    Fábio Silva
    Borussia Dortmund2–2Werder Bremen
    Fri 2:30 PM
    45%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +121
    ✓ 1
  35. 35
    Karim Adeyemi
    —v—
    Fri 2:30 PM
    44%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +128
    DNP
  36. 36Borussia Dortmund
    Ramy Bensebaini
    Borussia Dortmund2–2Werder Bremen
    Fri 2:30 PM
    43%
    Books -475
    -39.7%MatchWiz +133
    DNP
  37. 37Borussia Dortmund
    Kouakou Gadou
    Borussia Dortmund2–2Werder Bremen
    Fri 2:30 PM
    40%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +153
    ✓ 1
  38. 38
    Karim Coulibaly
    —v—
    Fri 2:30 PM
    39%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +155
    DNP
  39. 39Borussia Dortmund
    Julian Ryerson
    Borussia Dortmund2–2Werder Bremen
    Fri 2:30 PM
    38%
    Books -130
    -18.1%MatchWiz +160
    DNP
  40. 40Werder Bremen
    Olivier Deman
    Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Dortmund
    Fri 2:30 PM
    38%
    Books -135
    -19.9%MatchWiz +166
    ✓ 1
  41. 41
    Julien Duranville
    —v—
    Fri 2:30 PM
    37%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +171
    DNP
  42. 42Werder Bremen
    Amos Pieper
    Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Dortmund
    Fri 2:30 PM
    35%
    Books +150
    -4.8%MatchWiz +184
    ✗ 0
  43. 43Werder Bremen
    Issa Kaboré
    Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Dortmund
    Fri 2:30 PM
    35%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +185
    DNP
  44. 44Borussia Dortmund
    Carney Chukwuemeka
    Borussia Dortmund2–2Werder Bremen
    Fri 2:30 PM
    35%
    Books -1250
    -57.5%MatchWiz +185
    DNP
  45. 45Borussia Dortmund
    Marcel Sabitzer
    Borussia Dortmund2–2Werder Bremen
    Fri 2:30 PM
    33%
    Books -500
    -50.3%MatchWiz +203
    ✓ 4
  46. 46
    Jamie Gittens
    —v—
    Fri 2:30 PM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +259
    DNP
  47. 47Werder Bremen
    Cedric Itten
    Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Dortmund
    Fri 2:30 PM
    27%
    Books -900
    -62.8%MatchWiz +267
    DNP
  48. 48Werder Bremen
    Milos Veljkovic
    Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Dortmund
    Fri 2:30 PM
    27%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +271
    DNP
  49. 49Werder Bremen
    Marco Friedl
    Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Dortmund
    Fri 2:30 PM
    26%
    Books +220
    -5.7%MatchWiz +291
    ✗ 0
  50. 50Werder Bremen
    Skelly Alvero
    Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Dortmund
    Fri 2:30 PM
    25%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +302
    DNP
  51. 51Borussia Dortmund
    Niklas Süle
    Borussia Dortmund2–2Werder Bremen
    Fri 2:30 PM
    25%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +308
    DNP
  52. 52Werder Bremen
    Niklas Stark
    Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Dortmund
    Fri 2:30 PM
    23%
    Books +220
    -7.8%MatchWiz +326
    DNP
  53. 53Werder Bremen
    Felix Agu
    Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Dortmund
    Fri 2:30 PM
    23%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +333
    DNP
  54. 54Werder Bremen
    Arthur
    Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Dortmund
    Fri 2:30 PM
    22%
    Books +200
    -11.0%MatchWiz +347
    ✗ 0
  55. 55Werder Bremen
    Patrice Covic
    Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Dortmund
    Fri 2:30 PM
    22%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +350
    DNP
  56. 56Werder Bremen
    Dariusz Stalmach
    Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Dortmund
    Fri 2:30 PM
    20%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +410
    ✗ 0
  57. 57Werder Bremen
    Isaac Schmidt
    Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Dortmund
    Fri 2:30 PM
    19%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +426
    DNP
  58. 58Werder Bremen
    Julian Malatini
    Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Dortmund
    Fri 2:30 PM
    18%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +445
    DNP
  59. 59
    Samuel Mbangula
    —v—
    Fri 2:30 PM
    18%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +454
    DNP
  60. 60Borussia Dortmund
    Filippo Mané
    Borussia Dortmund2–2Werder Bremen
    Fri 2:30 PM
    12%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +737
    DNP
  61. 61Werder Bremen
    Karl Hein
    Werder Bremen2–2Borussia Dortmund
    Fri 2:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    ✗ 0
  62. 62Borussia Dortmund
    Gregor Kobel
    Borussia Dortmund2–2Werder Bremen
    Fri 2:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    ✗ 0

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).