MatchWiz
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Premier League 1+ Goals Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ goals number — chance each player scores, from per-game xG rates and the matchup's goal environment — priced at 1+, 2+ and 3+ goals. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Premier League props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1ARS
    Leandro Trossard
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    39%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +155
    DNP
  2. 2ARS
    Kai Havertz
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    29%
    Books +110
    -20.5%MatchWiz +239
    ✓ 1
  3. 3ARS
    Bukayo Saka
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    25%
    Books +185
    -14.8%MatchWiz +297
    ✓ 1
  4. 4ARS
    Viktor Gyökeres
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    23%
    Books -105
    -32.9%MatchWiz +341
    DNP
  5. 5ARS
    Eberechi Eze
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    21%
    Books +195
    -13.2%MatchWiz +375
    ✗ 0
  6. 6ARS
    Mikel Merino
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    17%
    Books +200
    -17.6%MatchWiz +472
    ✗ 0
  7. 7ARS
    Martín Zubimendi
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    17%
    Books +500
    -0.7%MatchWiz +500
    ✗ 0
  8. 8
    Christian Nørgaard
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    16%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +540
    DNP
  9. 9ARS
    Martin Ødegaard
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    15%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +583
    ✓ 1
  10. 10ARS
    Declan Rice
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    12%
    Books +600
    -6.3%MatchWiz +743
    ✗ 0
  11. 11ARS
    Thomas Partey
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    11%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +783
    DNP
  12. 12ARS
    Gabriel Jesus
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    10%
    Books +650
    -35.1%MatchWiz +867
    DNP
  13. 13ARS
    Gabriel Magalhães
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    10%
    Books +650
    -5.5%MatchWiz +898
    ✗ 0
  14. 14ARS
    Jorginho
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    8%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1124
    DNP
  15. 15ARS
    Jurriën Timber
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1407
    DNP
  16. 16ARS
    Jakub Kiwior
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    6%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1521
    DNP
  17. 17ARS
    Riccardo Calafiori
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    5%
    Books +700
    -7.7%MatchWiz +1813
    ✗ 0
  18. 18ARS
    Ben White
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    4%
    Books +1500
    -4.8%MatchWiz +2228
    ✗ 0
  19. 19ARS
    Piero Hincapié
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    4%
    Books +1300
    -6.2%MatchWiz +2544
    ✗ 0
  20. 20ARS
    William Saliba
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2954
    DNP
  21. 21ARS
    Cristhian Mosquera
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    2%
    Books +1800
    -5.0%MatchWiz +4506
    ✗ 0
  22. 22ARS
    Raheem Sterling
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP
  23. 23ARS
    David Raya
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    ✗ 0

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).