MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

Premier League 1+ Goals Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ goals number — chance each player scores, from per-game xG rates and the matchup's goal environment — priced at 1+, 2+ and 3+ goals. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Premier League props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1MNC
    Erling Haaland
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    41%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +143
  2. 2MNC
    Phil Foden
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +251
  3. 3MNC
    Jérémy Doku
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    21%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +365
  4. 4MNC
    Josko Gvardiol
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    21%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +374
  5. 5CRY
    Ismaïla Sarr
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    19%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +441
  6. 6MNC
    Tijjani Reijnders
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    16%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +511
  7. 7CRY
    Jean-Philippe Mateta
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    16%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +524
  8. 8MNC
    Rayan Cherki
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    15%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +553
  9. 9MNC
    Nico González
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    15%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +572
  10. 10MNC
    Marc Guéhi
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    13%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +690
  11. 11CRY
    Eddie Nketiah
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    12%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +739
  12. 12MNC
    Matheus Nunes
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    11%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +810
  13. 13MNC
    Rúben Dias
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    9%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1021
  14. 14MNC
    Nico O'Reilly
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    8%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1136
  15. 15
    Ilkay Gündogan
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1246
  16. 16
    Kevin De Bruyne
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1323
  17. 17CRY
    Yéremy Pino
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1334
  18. 18CRY
    Adam Wharton
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    6%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1487
  19. 19CRY
    Daichi Kamada
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    6%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1502
  20. 20
    Manuel Akanji
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    6%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1511
  21. 21
    Bernardo Silva
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    6%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1518
  22. 22MNC
    Mateo Kovacic
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    5%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1732
  23. 23
    Oscar Bobb
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    5%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1764
  24. 24
    Rodri
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    5%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1881
  25. 25MNC
    Abdukodir Khusanov
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    5%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1910
  26. 26CRY
    Daniel Muñoz
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    5%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1981
  27. 27CRY
    Nathaniel Clyne
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    5%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2006
  28. 28MNC
    Rayan Aït-Nouri
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    4%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2297
  29. 29CRY
    Jefferson Lerma
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    4%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2343
  30. 30CRY
    Jaydee Canvot
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2947
  31. 31CRY
    Chris Richards
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +3570
  32. 32
    Maxence Lacroix
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    2%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +4004
  33. 33CRY
    Tyrick Mitchell
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    2%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +4450
  34. 34CRY
    Will Hughes
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    2%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +4528
  35. 35
    John Stones
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    2%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +5607
  36. 36
    Ben Chilwell
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +7990
  37. 37MNC
    Nathan Aké
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +8200
  38. 38MNC
    Stefan Ortega
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  39. 39MNC
    Ederson
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  40. 40MNC
    Gianluigi Donnarumma
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  41. 41CRY
    Dean Henderson
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  42. 42
    James Trafford
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).