MatchWiz
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Premier League 1+ Goals Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ goals number — chance each player scores, from per-game xG rates and the matchup's goal environment — priced at 1+, 2+ and 3+ goals. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Premier League props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1ARS
    Leandro Trossard
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    40%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +152
  2. 2ARS
    Kai Havertz
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    37%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +169
  3. 3ARS
    Bukayo Saka
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +215
  4. 4ARS
    Martin Ødegaard
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    25%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +299
  5. 5AVL
    Ollie Watkins
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    23%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +337
  6. 6ARS
    Viktor Gyökeres
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    22%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +355
  7. 7ARS
    Martín Zubimendi
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    17%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +502
  8. 8
    Morgan Rogers
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    17%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +506
  9. 9
    Christian Nørgaard
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    16%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +522
  10. 10ARS
    Eberechi Eze
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    14%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +631
  11. 11ARS
    Thomas Partey
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    11%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +771
  12. 12ARS
    Declan Rice
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    11%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +786
  13. 13ARS
    Mikel Merino
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    11%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +795
  14. 14AVL
    Amadou Onana
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    11%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +822
  15. 15
    Marcus Rashford
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +876
  16. 16AVL
    Emiliano Buendía
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +883
  17. 17ARS
    Gabriel Jesus
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +912
  18. 18ARS
    Gabriel Magalhães
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +949
  19. 19
    Youri Tielemans
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    9%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1069
  20. 20ARS
    Jorginho
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    8%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1105
  21. 21ARS
    Jurriën Timber
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1252
  22. 22AVL
    Boubacar Kamara
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1306
  23. 23AVL
    Matty Cash
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1325
  24. 24AVL
    John McGinn
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1408
  25. 25AVL
    Marco Asensio
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    6%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1482
  26. 26ARS
    Jakub Kiwior
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    6%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1508
  27. 27ARS
    Noni Madueke
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    6%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1545
  28. 28
    Evann Guessand
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    5%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1763
  29. 29ARS
    Riccardo Calafiori
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    5%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1833
  30. 30ARS
    Piero Hincapié
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    5%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2066
  31. 31ARS
    Ben White
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    5%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2095
  32. 32
    Axel Disasi
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    4%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2304
  33. 33ARS
    William Saliba
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    4%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2361
  34. 34ARS
    Ezri Konsa
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2974
  35. 35AVL
    Ian Maatsen
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2980
  36. 36AVL
    Victor Lindelöf
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +3116
  37. 37ARS
    Cristhian Mosquera
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +3168
  38. 38AVL
    Ross Barkley
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +3227
  39. 39AVL
    Pau Torres
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +3403
  40. 40
    Donyell Malen
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +3419
  41. 41
    Harvey Elliott
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +3806
  42. 42ARS
    Myles Lewis-Skelly
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +3826
  43. 43AVL
    Tyrone Mings
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    2%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +4207
  44. 44
    Andrés García
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    2%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +4551
  45. 45
    Jadon Sancho
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    2%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +5505
  46. 46
    Lucas Digne
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  47. 47AVL
    Marco Bizot
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  48. 48ARS
    Raheem Sterling
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  49. 49AVL
    Emiliano Martínez
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  50. 50AVL
    Robin Olsen
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  51. 51ARS
    David Raya
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).