MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

Premier League 1+ Shots on Target Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots on target number — the sharper volume signal — hitting the target travels better than raw attempts. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Premier League props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1ARS
    Bukayo Saka
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    64%
    Books -350
    -13.9%MatchWiz -177
    ✓ 1
  2. 2ARS
    Kai Havertz
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    61%
    Books -425
    -20.0%MatchWiz -156
    ✓ 1
  3. 3ARS
    Leandro Trossard
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    57%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -135
    DNP
  4. 4ARS
    Viktor Gyökeres
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    50%
    Books -310
    -26.1%MatchWiz +102
    DNP
  5. 5ARS
    Martin Ødegaard
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    47%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +114
    ✓ 1
  6. 6ARS
    Eberechi Eze
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    44%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +128
    ✗ 0
  7. 7ARS
    Declan Rice
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    40%
    Books -120
    -15.0%MatchWiz +153
    ✗ 0
  8. 8
    Christian Nørgaard
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    39%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +158
    DNP
  9. 9ARS
    Martín Zubimendi
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    36%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +178
    ✗ 0
  10. 10ARS
    Mikel Merino
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    34%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +194
    ✓ 1
  11. 11ARS
    Thomas Partey
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    24%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +313
    DNP
  12. 12ARS
    Gabriel Jesus
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    24%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +324
    DNP
  13. 13ARS
    Riccardo Calafiori
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    21%
    Books +130
    -22.4%MatchWiz +374
    ✗ 0
  14. 14ARS
    Ben White
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    19%
    Books +360
    -2.8%MatchWiz +429
    ✗ 0
  15. 15ARS
    Jorginho
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    18%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +447
    DNP
  16. 16ARS
    Jurriën Timber
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    18%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +458
    DNP
  17. 17ARS
    Gabriel Magalhães
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    18%
    Books +200
    -15.6%MatchWiz +462
    ✗ 0
  18. 18ARS
    Piero Hincapié
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    13%
    Books +310
    -11.7%MatchWiz +689
    ✗ 0
  19. 19ARS
    William Saliba
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    11%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +806
    DNP
  20. 20ARS
    Jakub Kiwior
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    8%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1102
    DNP
  21. 21ARS
    Cristhian Mosquera
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    7%
    Books +370
    -13.9%MatchWiz +1247
    ✗ 0
  22. 22ARS
    Raheem Sterling
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP
  23. 23ARS
    David Raya
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    ✗ 0

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).