MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

Premier League 1+ Shots on Target Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots on target number — the sharper volume signal — hitting the target travels better than raw attempts. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Premier League props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1ARS
    Bukayo Saka
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    65%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -187
  2. 2ARS
    Kai Havertz
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    62%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -165
  3. 3ARS
    Leandro Trossard
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    58%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -137
  4. 4AVL
    Ollie Watkins
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    52%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -107
  5. 5ARS
    Martin Ødegaard
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    50%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -101
  6. 6ARS
    Viktor Gyökeres
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    50%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +101
  7. 7
    Christian Nørgaard
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    38%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +160
  8. 8
    Morgan Rogers
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    37%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +170
  9. 9ARS
    Declan Rice
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    37%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +172
  10. 10ARS
    Martín Zubimendi
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    35%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +186
  11. 11ARS
    Eberechi Eze
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +237
  12. 12
    Marcus Rashford
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    29%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +244
  13. 13ARS
    Mikel Merino
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +262
  14. 14
    Youri Tielemans
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    26%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +281
  15. 15AVL
    Boubacar Kamara
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    25%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +306
  16. 16ARS
    Thomas Partey
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    24%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +309
  17. 17AVL
    Amadou Onana
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    24%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +311
  18. 18ARS
    Gabriel Jesus
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    24%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +323
  19. 19AVL
    John McGinn
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    23%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +326
  20. 20
    Evann Guessand
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    22%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +352
  21. 21AVL
    Emiliano Buendía
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    20%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +396
  22. 22AVL
    Marco Asensio
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    20%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +413
  23. 23ARS
    Noni Madueke
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    19%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +417
  24. 24ARS
    Riccardo Calafiori
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    19%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +427
  25. 25ARS
    Jurriën Timber
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    19%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +434
  26. 26ARS
    Jorginho
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    18%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +441
  27. 27ARS
    Ben White
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    17%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +478
  28. 28AVL
    Matty Cash
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    17%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +487
  29. 29ARS
    Gabriel Magalhães
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    17%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +505
  30. 30
    Jadon Sancho
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    16%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +528
  31. 31AVL
    Ian Maatsen
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    15%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +569
  32. 32ARS
    Piero Hincapié
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    13%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +642
  33. 33
    Axel Disasi
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    13%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +643
  34. 34ARS
    Ezri Konsa
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    12%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +709
  35. 35ARS
    William Saliba
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    12%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +738
  36. 36
    Andrés García
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    11%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +834
  37. 37AVL
    Victor Lindelöf
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +881
  38. 38
    Donyell Malen
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +936
  39. 39AVL
    Pau Torres
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    9%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +965
  40. 40ARS
    Cristhian Mosquera
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    9%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1002
  41. 41AVL
    Ross Barkley
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    9%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1049
  42. 42ARS
    Jakub Kiwior
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    8%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1094
  43. 43AVL
    Tyrone Mings
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    8%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1139
  44. 44
    Harvey Elliott
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    8%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1187
  45. 45ARS
    Myles Lewis-Skelly
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1332
  46. 46
    Lucas Digne
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    5%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2040
  47. 47AVL
    Marco Bizot
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  48. 48ARS
    Raheem Sterling
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  49. 49AVL
    Emiliano Martínez
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  50. 50AVL
    Robin Olsen
    AVLvARS
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  51. 51ARS
    David Raya
    ARSvAVL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).