MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

Premier League 1+ Shots Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Premier League props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1ARS
    Bukayo Saka
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    93%
    Books -10000
    -5.9%MatchWiz -1343
    ✓ 3
  2. 2ARS
    Kai Havertz
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    92%
    Books -7000
    -7.1%MatchWiz -1080
    ✓ 1
  3. 3ARS
    Leandro Trossard
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    91%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -1039
    DNP
  4. 4ARS
    Viktor Gyökeres
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    84%
    Books -5000
    -13.7%MatchWiz -541
    DNP
  5. 5ARS
    Martin Ødegaard
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    82%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -457
    ✓ 3
  6. 6ARS
    Eberechi Eze
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    80%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -406
    ✓ 1
  7. 7ARS
    Declan Rice
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    80%
    Books -600
    -6.0%MatchWiz -392
    ✓ 2
  8. 8
    Christian Nørgaard
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    77%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -338
    DNP
  9. 9ARS
    Martín Zubimendi
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    75%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -301
    ✗ 0
  10. 10ARS
    Mikel Merino
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    72%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -253
    ✓ 2
  11. 11ARS
    Riccardo Calafiori
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    59%
    Books -600
    -26.7%MatchWiz -144
    ✓ 1
  12. 12ARS
    Jurriën Timber
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    57%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -134
    DNP
  13. 13ARS
    Thomas Partey
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    55%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -123
    DNP
  14. 14ARS
    Gabriel Magalhães
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    52%
    Books -260
    -20.3%MatchWiz -108
    ✓ 1
  15. 15ARS
    Gabriel Jesus
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    52%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -106
    DNP
  16. 16ARS
    Ben White
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    50%
    Books -120
    -4.9%MatchWiz +101
    ✓ 1
  17. 17ARS
    Jakub Kiwior
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    49%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +106
    DNP
  18. 18ARS
    Jorginho
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    45%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +121
    DNP
  19. 19ARS
    William Saliba
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    38%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +165
    DNP
  20. 20ARS
    Piero Hincapié
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    37%
    Books -120
    -17.2%MatchWiz +168
    ✗ 0
  21. 21ARS
    Raheem Sterling
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    25%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +301
    DNP
  22. 22ARS
    Cristhian Mosquera
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    23%
    Books +105
    -25.4%MatchWiz +328
    ✗ 0
  23. 23ARS
    David Raya
    ARS3–0COV
    Fri 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    ✗ 0

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).