Premier League Team Props

Every game's team markets from our goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Premier League team markets are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no book hangs them). Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Sunday, August 23

MNC v BOU BOU

FT · 2–1

Goal count · Over 2.570%-231fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.548%+108fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half26%+284fair—mkt—

MNC to score in both halves51%-105fair—mkt—

BOU to score in both halves16%+507fair—mkt—

BHA v AVL AVL

FT · 4–0

Goal count · Over 2.557%-131fair-121mkt+1.9%

1st-half goals · Over 1.538%+160fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half23%+326fair—mkt—

BHA to score in both halves32%+208fair—mkt—

AVL to score in both halves21%+368fair—mkt—

NEW v LIV LIV

FT · 2–2

Goal count · Over 2.559%-147fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.540%+148fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half24%+315fair—mkt—

NEW to score in both halves37%+170fair—mkt—

LIV to score in both halves20%+409fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered. Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).