Premier League Team Props

Every game's team markets from our goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Premier League team markets are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no book hangs them). Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Saturday, August 22

HUL v MAN MAN

FT · 2–0

Goal count · Over 2.559%-142fair-151mkt-1.5%

1st-half goals · Over 1.540%+151fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half24%+309fair—mkt—

HUL to score in both halves34%+198fair—mkt—

MAN to score in both halves22%+348fair—mkt—

EVE v CRY CRY

FT · 2–0

Goal count · Over 2.543%+135fair-100mkt-7.4%

1st-half goals · Over 1.529%+243fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half17%+503fair—mkt—

EVE to score in both halves27%+270fair—mkt—

CRY to score in both halves13%+673fair—mkt—

NFO v LEE LEE

FT · 0–1

Goal count · Over 2.557%-132fair+102mkt+7.3%

1st-half goals · Over 1.539%+159fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half24%+322fair—mkt—

NFO to score in both halves32%+217fair—mkt—

LEE to score in both halves22%+347fair—mkt—

IPS v SUN SUN

FT · 2–1

Goal count · Over 2.547%+111fair+108mkt-0.7%

1st-half goals · Over 1.532%+210fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half19%+414fair—mkt—

IPS to score in both halves26%+292fair—mkt—

SUN to score in both halves19%+431fair—mkt—

BRE v TOT TOT

FT · 3–0

Goal count · Over 2.557%-134fair-132mkt+0.3%

1st-half goals · Over 1.539%+158fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half23%+334fair—mkt—

BRE to score in both halves36%+181fair—mkt—

TOT to score in both halves19%+433fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered. Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).