Premier League Team Props

Every game's team markets from our goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Premier League team markets are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no book hangs them). Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Saturday, August 29

LIV v NFO NFO

7:30 AM ET

Goal count · Over 2.562%-160fair-143mkt+2.6%

1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+140fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half22%+355fair—mkt—

LIV to score in both halves45%+122fair—mkt—

NFO to score in both halves13%+645fair—mkt—

BOU v EVE EVE

10:00 AM ET

Goal count · Over 2.550%-100fair-106mkt-1.4%

1st-half goals · Over 1.534%+195fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half20%+395fair—mkt—

BOU to score in both halves29%+241fair—mkt—

EVE to score in both halves18%+468fair—mkt—

COV v HUL HUL

10:00 AM ET

Goal count · Over 2.542%+140fair-114mkt-11.5%

1st-half goals · Over 1.529%+250fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half17%+480fair—mkt—

COV to score in both halves19%+428fair—mkt—

HUL to score in both halves20%+401fair—mkt—

TOT v NEW NEW

12:30 PM ET

Goal count · Over 2.553%-115fair-132mkt-3.5%

1st-half goals · Over 1.536%+176fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half22%+349fair—mkt—

TOT to score in both halves29%+249fair—mkt—

NEW to score in both halves22%+359fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered. Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).