Premier League Team Props

Every game's team markets from our goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Premier League team markets are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no book hangs them). Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Sunday, August 30

SUN v FUL FUL

9:00 AM ET

Goal count · Over 2.555%-124fair+117mkt+9.1%

1st-half goals · Over 1.537%+167fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half21%+375fair—mkt—

SUN to score in both halves37%+169fair—mkt—

FUL to score in both halves15%+565fair—mkt—

LEE v BRE BRE

9:00 AM ET

Goal count · Over 2.558%-140fair-102mkt+7.8%

1st-half goals · Over 1.540%+153fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half24%+318fair—mkt—

LEE to score in both halves35%+187fair—mkt—

BRE to score in both halves21%+384fair—mkt—

CHE v BHA BHA

9:00 AM ET

Goal count · Over 2.561%-158fair-121mkt+6.3%

1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+140fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half26%+289fair—mkt—

CHE to score in both halves35%+183fair—mkt—

BHA to score in both halves23%+327fair—mkt—

MAN v IPS IPS

11:30 AM ET

Goal count · Over 2.569%-221fair-143mkt+10.0%

1st-half goals · Over 1.547%+111fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half28%+254fair—mkt—

MAN to score in both halves46%+118fair—mkt—

IPS to score in both halves22%+361fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered. Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).