Premier League Team Props
Every game's team markets from our goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.
⚙ New model, graded in the open. Premier League team markets are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no book hangs them). Research, not betting advice — 21+.
Monday, August 31
AVL v ARS
3:00 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.552%-110fair-112mkt-0.4%
1st-half goals · Over 1.536%+181fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half22%+355fair—mkt—
AVL to score in both halves25%+295fair—mkt—
ARS to score in both halves24%+316fair—mkt—
Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered. Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).