La Liga Match Board — Friday, October 16, 2026

Every La Liga match on Friday, October 16, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

2026-27 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 60 of 77 on Over 2.5.

Friday, October 16

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge

3:00 PM ET

Proj1.9–1.3

Match page →

DeportivoHOME51%1.9proj-105fair+122mktModel lean+6.2%

Draw24%—proj+310fair+270mkt-2.7%

LevanteAWAY24%1.3proj+311fair+259mkt-3.5%

O2.5 61% · mkt 49%BTTS 62%1H O1.5 42%

ESPN Deportes · ESPN+

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).