La Liga Match Board — Sunday, October 18, 2026

Every La Liga match on Sunday, October 18, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

2026-27 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 60 of 77 on Over 2.5.

Sunday, October 18

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge

8:00 AM ET

Proj2.3–1.7

Match page →

OsasunaHOME52%2.3proj-107fair+104mkt+2.6%

Draw21%—proj+369fair+282mkt-4.9%

Racing SantanderAWAY27%1.7proj+270fair+311mkt+2.7%

O2.5 76% · mkt 56%BTTS 74%1H O1.5 53%

ESPN+

10:15 AM ET

Proj1.4–0.9

Match page →

Celta VigoHOME46%1.4proj+117fair+113mkt-0.9%

Draw30%—proj+234fair+261mkt+2.3%

AlavésAWAY24%0.9proj+319fair+298mkt-1.3%

O2.5 40% · mkt 45%BTTS 46%1H O1.5 28%

ESPN+

12:30 PM ET

Proj1.2–1.5

Match page →

MálagaHOME30%1.2proj+233fair+235mkt+0.2%

Draw28%—proj+253fair+272mkt+1.4%

Real SociedadAWAY42%1.5proj+140fair+130mkt-1.8%

O2.5 50% · mkt 53%BTTS 55%1H O1.5 34%

ESPN Deportes · ESPN+

3:00 PM ET

Proj2.2–0.8

Match page →

Real MadridHOME69%2.2proj-221fair-310mkt-6.8%

Draw20%—proj+403fair+590mktModel lean+5.4%

SevillaAWAY11%0.8proj+788fair+901mkt+1.3%

O2.5 59%BTTS 51%1H O1.5 40%

ABC · ESPN Deportes · ESPN+

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).