La Liga Match Board — Wednesday, October 21, 2026

Every La Liga match on Wednesday, October 21, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

2026-27 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 73 of 77 on ML, 56 of 77 on Over 2.5, 73 of 77 on BTTS.

Wednesday, October 21

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge

2:00 PM ET

Proj1.6–1.3

Match page →

LevanteHOME44%1.6proj+128fair+255mktModel lean+15.8%

Draw27%—proj+270fair+259mkt-0.8%

Athletic ClubAWAY29%1.3proj+244fair+127mkt-14.9%

O2.5 54% · mkt 53%BTTS 58% · mkt 59%1H O1.5 37% · mkt 36%

ESPN+

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).