La Liga Team Props
Every game's team markets from our goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.
⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga team markets are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no book hangs them). Research, not betting advice — 21+.
Saturday, August 15
ALA v GET
FT · 3–0
Goal count · Over 2.534%+198fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.524%+325fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half13%+653fair—mkt—
ALA to score in both halves21%+371fair—mkt—
GET to score in both halves11%+839fair—mkt—
SEV v RAY
FT · 2–1
Goal count · Over 2.542%+138fair+149mkt+1.9%
1st-half goals · Over 1.529%+247fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half17%+499fair—mkt—
SEV to score in both halves25%+294fair—mkt—
RAY to score in both halves14%+614fair—mkt—
Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered. Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).