La Liga Team Props

Every game's team markets from our goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga team markets are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no book hangs them). Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Sunday, August 16

RAC v VIL VIL

FT · 2–2

Goal count · Over 2.549%+103fair-143mkt-9.7%

1st-half goals · Over 1.533%+199fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half20%+393fair—mkt—

RAC to score in both halves26%+282fair—mkt—

VIL to score in both halves20%+402fair—mkt—

ESP v LEV LEV

FT · 3–0

Goal count · Over 2.550%+102fair+132mkt+6.5%

1st-half goals · Over 1.534%+198fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half17%+475fair—mkt—

ESP to score in both halves36%+176fair—mkt—

LEV to score in both halves11%+845fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered. Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).