La Liga Team Props

Every game's team markets from our goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga team markets are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no book hangs them). Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Saturday, August 22

ATH v SEV SEV

FT · 1–3

Goal count · Over 2.544%+126fair+134mkt+1.5%

1st-half goals · Over 1.530%+232fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half18%+471fair—mkt—

ATH to score in both halves27%+271fair—mkt—

SEV to score in both halves14%+591fair—mkt—

VAL v CEL CEL

FT · 0–0

Goal count · Over 2.545%+122fair+137mkt+2.9%

1st-half goals · Over 1.531%+225fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half18%+444fair—mkt—

VAL to score in both halves25%+303fair—mkt—

CEL to score in both halves17%+476fair—mkt—

ESP v RMA RMA

FT · 1–2

Goal count · Over 2.545%+123fair-137mkt-12.9%

1st-half goals · Over 1.531%+227fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half18%+445fair—mkt—

ESP to score in both halves24%+312fair—mkt—

RMA to score in both halves18%+466fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered. Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).