La Liga Team Props

Every game's team markets from our goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga team markets are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no book hangs them). Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Sunday, August 23

ATM v VIL VIL

FT · 2–2

Goal count · Over 2.552%-108fair-132mkt-5.0%

1st-half goals · Over 1.535%+184fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half21%+379fair—mkt—

ATM to score in both halves31%+219fair—mkt—

VIL to score in both halves18%+471fair—mkt—

GET v RAC RAC

FT · 1–0

Goal count · Over 2.545%+124fair+143mkt+3.5%

1st-half goals · Over 1.530%+228fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half18%+445fair—mkt—

GET to score in both halves19%+440fair—mkt—

RAC to score in both halves23%+332fair—mkt—

ELC v BAR BAR

FT · 0–5

Goal count · Over 2.561%-156fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+141fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half26%+283fair—mkt—

ELC to score in both halves27%+267fair—mkt—

BAR to score in both halves31%+220fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered. Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).