La Liga Team Props

Every game's team markets from our goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga team markets are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no book hangs them). Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Thursday, August 27

CEL v OSA OSA

2:30 PM ET

Goal count · Over 2.532%+209fair+121mkt-12.8%

1st-half goals · Over 1.523%+339fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half13%+683fair—mkt—

CEL to score in both halves21%+381fair—mkt—

OSA to score in both halves10%+893fair—mkt—

BAR v ATH ATH

3:00 PM ET

Goal count · Over 2.572%-262fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.550%-100fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half22%+351fair—mkt—

BAR to score in both halves59%-145fair—mkt—

ATH to score in both halves10%+864fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered. Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).