La Liga Team Props

Every game's team markets from our goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga team markets are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no book hangs them). Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Friday, August 28

RAC v ELC ELC

1:00 PM ET

Goal count · Over 2.546%+119fair-108mkt-6.1%

1st-half goals · Over 1.531%+221fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half18%+443fair—mkt—

RAC to score in both halves27%+276fair—mkt—

ELC to score in both halves16%+518fair—mkt—

ALA v VIL VIL

3:30 PM ET

Goal count · Over 2.553%-113fair-112mkt+0.1%

1st-half goals · Over 1.536%+178fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half22%+350fair—mkt—

ALA to score in both halves26%+284fair—mkt—

VIL to score in both halves24%+319fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered. Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).