La Liga Team Props
Every game's team markets from our goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.
⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga team markets are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no book hangs them). Research, not betting advice — 21+.
Sunday, August 30
RMA v MCF
11:00 AM ET
Goal count · Over 2.552%-107fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.535%+187fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half17%+490fair—mkt—
RMA to score in both halves40%+151fair—mkt—
MCF to score in both halves9%+993fair—mkt—
DEP v VAL
1:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.538%+163fair+143mkt-3.1%
1st-half goals · Over 1.526%+280fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half16%+537fair—mkt—
DEP to score in both halves19%+430fair—mkt—
VAL to score in both halves17%+499fair—mkt—
CEL v ATH
3:30 PM ET
Goal count · Over 2.541%+142fair+121mkt-3.8%
1st-half goals · Over 1.528%+253fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half15%+547fair—mkt—
CEL to score in both halves28%+253fair—mkt—
ATH to score in both halves11%+829fair—mkt—
Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered. Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).