La Liga Team Props

Every game's team markets from our goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga team markets are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no book hangs them). Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Saturday, August 29

LEV v BET BET

11:00 AM ET

Goal count · Over 2.544%+127fair+102mkt-5.4%

1st-half goals · Over 1.530%+233fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half17%+495fair—mkt—

LEV to score in both halves12%+709fair—mkt—

BET to score in both halves29%+244fair—mkt—

RSO v ESP ESP

1:00 PM ET

Goal count · Over 2.541%+144fair-108mkt-11.0%

1st-half goals · Over 1.528%+256fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half17%+491fair—mkt—

RSO to score in both halves19%+425fair—mkt—

ESP to score in both halves19%+423fair—mkt—

SEV v ATM ATM

3:30 PM ET

Goal count · Over 2.558%-138fair+106mkt+9.4%

1st-half goals · Over 1.539%+154fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half25%+306fair—mkt—

SEV to score in both halves28%+259fair—mkt—

ATM to score in both halves27%+266fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered. Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).