MatchWiz
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Serie A 1+ Goals Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ goals number — chance each player scores, from per-game xG rates and the matchup's goal environment — priced at 1+, 2+ and 3+ goals. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Serie A props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1MIL
    Rafael Leão
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    36%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +177
  2. 2MIL
    Adrien Rabiot
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    33%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +200
  3. 3MIL
    Christian Pulisic
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +209
  4. 4MIL
    Alexis Saelemaekers
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +253
  5. 5MIL
    Christopher Nkunku
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    23%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +329
  6. 6MIL
    Santiago Gimenez
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    21%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +379
  7. 7
    Tijjani Reijnders
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    18%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +466
  8. 8MIL
    Luka Jovic
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    17%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +484
  9. 9MIL
    Youssouf Fofana
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    15%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +578
  10. 10MIL
    Davide Bartesaghi
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    15%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +580
  11. 11
    Malick Thiaw
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    14%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +600
  12. 12MIL
    Luka Modric
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    14%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +621
  13. 13MIL
    Theo Hernández
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    13%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +649
  14. 14
    João Félix
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    13%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +657
  15. 15
    Alessio Zerbin
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    12%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +705
  16. 16VEN
    John Yeboah
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +875
  17. 17
    Tammy Abraham
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +902
  18. 18MIL
    Ruben Loftus-Cheek
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +929
  19. 19MIL
    Warren Bondo
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    9%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1055
  20. 20MIL
    Samuel Chukwueze
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    8%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1101
  21. 21MIL
    Strahinja Pavlovic
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    8%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1118
  22. 22MIL
    Koni De Winter
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1416
  23. 23
    Andrei Radu
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    6%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1488
  24. 24VEN
    Gianluca Busio
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    6%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1499
  25. 25MIL
    Matteo Gabbia
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    6%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1538
  26. 26VEN
    Alfred Duncan
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    6%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1658
  27. 27MIL
    Fikayo Tomori
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    5%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1814
  28. 28
    Álex Jiménez
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    5%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1850
  29. 29VEN
    Enrique Perez
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    5%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1931
  30. 30VEN
    Mirko Maric
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    5%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2049
  31. 31MIL
    Pervis Estupiñán
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    4%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2136
  32. 32VEN
    Daniel Fila
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    4%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2422
  33. 33MIL
    Samuele Ricci
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2848
  34. 34VEN
    Joel Schingtienne
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +3566
  35. 35VEN
    Christian Gytkjaer
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +3804
  36. 36VEN
    Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    2%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +4057
  37. 37VEN
    Cheick Oumar Conde
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    2%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +4137
  38. 38MIL
    Ismaël Bennacer
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    2%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +4952
  39. 39VEN
    Ridgeciano Haps
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +8360
  40. 40
    Franco Carboni
    —v—
    Fri 2:45 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +8550
  41. 41VEN
    Francesco Zampano
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  42. 42MIL
    Kyle Walker
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  43. 43MIL
    Mike Maignan
    MILvVEN
    Fri 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  44. 44VEN
    Filip Stankovic
    VENvMIL
    Fri 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).