MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

Serie A 1+ Shots on Target Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots on target number — the sharper volume signal — hitting the target travels better than raw attempts. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Serie A props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1BOL
    Riccardo Orsolini
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    56%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -126
  2. 2ATA
    Mateo Retegui
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    55%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -122
  3. 3ROMA
    Eldor Shomurodov
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    55%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -122
  4. 4ATA
    Charles De Ketelaere
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    55%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -120
  5. 5ATA
    Gianluca Scamacca
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    54%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -118
  6. 6ROMA
    Paulo Dybala
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    51%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -104
  7. 7ROMA
    Matìas Soulè
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    47%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +111
  8. 8
    Santiago Castro
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    47%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +114
  9. 9ROMA
    Lorenzo Pellegrini
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    45%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +124
  10. 10
    Ademola Lookman
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    42%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +136
  11. 11ATA
    Éderson
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    42%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +140
  12. 12BOL
    Jens Odgaard
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    41%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +144
  13. 13BOL
    Jon Rowe
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    41%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +145
  14. 14BOL
    Tommaso Pobega
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    40%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +148
  15. 15BOL
    Nicolò Cambiaghi
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    38%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +166
  16. 16
    Angeliño
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    37%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +168
  17. 17
    Dan Ndoye
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    37%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +172
  18. 18LEC
    Nikola Stulic
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    37%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +173
  19. 19ROMA
    Bryan Cristante
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    34%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +198
  20. 20
    Evan Ferguson
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    33%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +201
  21. 21ROMA
    Manu Koné
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    33%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +203
  22. 22
    Jesper Karlsson
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    33%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +206
  23. 23ROMA
    Leandro Paredes
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +211
  24. 24LEC
    Santiago Pierotti
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +214
  25. 25ROMA
    Wesley
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +215
  26. 26ATA
    Nikola Krstovic
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +217
  27. 27ROMA
    Stephan El Shaarawy
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +237
  28. 28ATA
    Marten de Roon
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +237
  29. 29
    Thijs Dallinga
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    29%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +250
  30. 30
    Patrick Dorgu
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +254
  31. 31
    Giovanni Fabbian
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +255
  32. 32BOL
    Charalampos Lykogiannis
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +261
  33. 33BOL
    Martin Erlic
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    25%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +294
  34. 34
    Tommaso Baldanzi
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    23%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +327
  35. 35LEC
    Tiago Gabriel
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    23%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +331
  36. 36LEC
    Lassana Coulibaly
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    23%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +334
  37. 37ROMA
    Mario Hermoso
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    23%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +335
  38. 38LEC
    Medon Berisha
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    23%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +340
  39. 39BOL
    Lewis Ferguson
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    22%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +351
  40. 40
    Kostas Tsimikas
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    22%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +352
  41. 41BOL
    Nikola Moro
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    22%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +352
  42. 42LEC
    Lameck Banda
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    22%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +362
  43. 43
    Leon Bailey
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    21%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +379
  44. 44ROMA
    Gianluca Mancini
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    21%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +379
  45. 45ATA
    Rafael Tolói
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    20%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +397
  46. 46
    Riccardo Sottil
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    20%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +408
  47. 47
    Michel Aebischer
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    19%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +415
  48. 48
    Zeki Çelik
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    19%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +417
  49. 49
    José Antonio Morente
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    19%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +430
  50. 50BOL
    Juan Miranda
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    19%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +434
  51. 51ROMA
    Victor Nelsson
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    18%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +449
  52. 52
    Artem Dovbyk
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    18%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +462
  53. 53BOL
    Emil Holm
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    18%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +467
  54. 54BOL
    Nadir Zortea
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    17%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +478
  55. 55ATA
    Mario Pasalic
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    17%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +485
  56. 56ATA
    Kamaldeen Sulemana
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    17%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +500
  57. 57LEC
    Ante Rebic
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    17%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +502
  58. 58ROMA
    Mats Hummels
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    16%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +515
  59. 59BOL
    Remo Freuler
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    16%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +521
  60. 60ROMA
    Evan Ndicka
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    16%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +528
  61. 61LEC
    Álex Sala
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    16%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +528
  62. 62ATA
    Giorgio Scalvini
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    16%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +531
  63. 63ATA
    Raoul Bellanova
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    16%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +545
  64. 64ROMA
    Neil El Aynaoui
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    15%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +549
  65. 65BOL
    Martin Vitík
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    15%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +565
  66. 66ATA
    Isak Hien
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    15%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +565
  67. 67
    Yunus Musah
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    15%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +579
  68. 68BOL
    Torbjørn Heggem
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    15%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +581
  69. 69ATA
    Nicola Zalewski
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    15%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +581
  70. 70ATA
    Davide Zappacosta
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    15%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +584
  71. 71
    Benjamín Domínguez
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    14%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +591
  72. 72
    Jhon Lucumí
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    14%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +603
  73. 73
    Francesco Camarda
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    14%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +604
  74. 74LEC
    Konan N’Dri
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    14%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +604
  75. 75
    Lucas Gourna-Douath
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    14%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +632
  76. 76LEC
    Gaby Jean
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    13%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +652
  77. 77
    Matteo Ruggeri
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    13%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +655
  78. 78ATA
    Odilon Kossounou
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    13%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +681
  79. 79ATA
    Sead Kolasinac
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    12%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +712
  80. 80ATA
    Honest Ahanor
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    12%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +737
  81. 81
    Daniel Maldini
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    12%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +749
  82. 82BOL
    Nicolo Casale
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    11%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +806
  83. 83LEC
    Jamil Siebert
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    11%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +808
  84. 84ATA
    Lorenzo Bernasconi
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    11%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +830
  85. 85LEC
    Antonino Gallo
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    11%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +851
  86. 86LEC
    Federico Baschirotto
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +864
  87. 87LEC
    Owen Kouassi
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +865
  88. 88LEC
    Danilo Veiga
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +878
  89. 89ROMA
    Devyne Rensch
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +917
  90. 90ROMA
    Niccolò Pisilli
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    9%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1029
  91. 91ATA
    Juan Cuadrado
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    9%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1033
  92. 92ATA
    Sulemana
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    9%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1036
  93. 93LEC
    Kialonda Gaspar
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    8%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1085
  94. 94ROMA
    Jan Ziólkowski
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    8%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1125
  95. 95LEC
    Ylber Ramadani
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    8%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1137
  96. 96ATA
    Berat Djimsiti
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    8%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1154
  97. 97
    Thorir Johann Helgason
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1332
  98. 98ROMA
    Daniele Ghilardi
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    4%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2300
  99. 99BOL
    Lorenzo De Silvestri
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    4%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2615
  100. 100LEC
    Corrie Ndaba
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +3186
  101. 101
    Davide Calabria
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  102. 102LEC
    Frédéric Guilbert
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  103. 103LEC
    Wladimiro Falcone
    LECvROMA
    Mon 12:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  104. 104ROMA
    Mile Svilar
    ROMAvLEC
    Mon 12:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  105. 105BOL
    Lukasz Skorupski
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  106. 106BOL
    Federico Ravaglia
    BOLvATA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  107. 107ATA
    Marco Carnesecchi
    ATAvBOL
    Mon 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).