Serie A Team Props

Every game's team markets from our goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Serie A team markets are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no book hangs them). Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Saturday, August 22

INT v MON MON

FT · 4–1

Goal count · Over 2.552%-108fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.535%+185fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half19%+431fair—mkt—

INT to score in both halves37%+171fair—mkt—

MON to score in both halves12%+721fair—mkt—

UDI v COMO COMO

FT · 1–1

Goal count · Over 2.546%+117fair+121mkt+1.0%

1st-half goals · Over 1.531%+218fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half19%+440fair—mkt—

UDI to score in both halves16%+524fair—mkt—

COMO to score in both halves27%+268fair—mkt—

GEN v NAP NAP

FT · 0–2

Goal count · Over 2.543%+135fair+159mkt+4.0%

1st-half goals · Over 1.529%+243fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half17%+475fair—mkt—

GEN to score in both halves17%+503fair—mkt—

NAP to score in both halves23%+331fair—mkt—

PAR v CAG CAG

FT · 0–1

Goal count · Over 2.538%+160fair+160mkt-0.1%

1st-half goals · Over 1.527%+276fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half16%+529fair—mkt—

PAR to score in both halves18%+444fair—mkt—

CAG to score in both halves18%+469fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered. Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).