Serie A Team Props

Every game's team markets from our goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Serie A team markets are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no book hangs them). Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Sunday, August 23

FRO v JUV JUV

FT · 0–1

Goal count · Over 2.541%+143fair-132mkt-15.8%

1st-half goals · Over 1.528%+254fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half17%+488fair—mkt—

FRO to score in both halves19%+431fair—mkt—

JUV to score in both halves20%+412fair—mkt—

VEN v LEC LEC

FT · 0–2

Goal count · Over 2.540%+151fair+132mkt-3.2%

1st-half goals · Over 1.527%+265fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half16%+522fair—mkt—

VEN to score in both halves23%+335fair—mkt—

LEC to score in both halves14%+597fair—mkt—

ATA v SAS SAS

FT · 2–1

Goal count · Over 2.540%+147fair-121mkt-14.4%

1st-half goals · Over 1.528%+260fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half17%+502fair—mkt—

ATA to score in both halves21%+373fair—mkt—

SAS to score in both halves17%+501fair—mkt—

TOR v MIL MIL

FT · 1–2

Goal count · Over 2.549%+105fair+132mkt+5.8%

1st-half goals · Over 1.533%+201fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half20%+407fair—mkt—

TOR to score in both halves17%+481fair—mkt—

MIL to score in both halves29%+250fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered. Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).