MLS Team Props

Every game's team markets from our xG goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Team markets are priced by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no US book hangs them). Grading against the box score is coming to this board. Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Saturday, February 21

STL v CLT CLT

FT · 1–1

Goal count · Over 2.566%-191fair-132mkt+8.7%

1st-half goals · Over 1.545%+122fair—mkt—

CIN v ATL ATL

FT · 2–0

Goal count · Over 2.556%-128fair-125mkt+0.6%

1st-half goals · Over 1.538%+162fair—mkt—

ORL v RBNY RBNY

FT · 1–2

Goal count · Over 2.564%-178fair-131mkt+7.2%

1st-half goals · Over 1.544%+129fair—mkt—

VAN v RSL RSL

FT · 1–0

Goal count · Over 2.565%-186fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.544%+125fair—mkt—

DC v PHI PHI

FT · 1–0

Goal count · Over 2.555%-122fair+119mkt+9.1%

1st-half goals · Over 1.537%+169fair—mkt—

ATX v MIN MIN

FT · 2–2

Goal count · Over 2.555%-122fair+102mkt+5.4%

1st-half goals · Over 1.537%+168fair—mkt—

NSH v NE

FT · 4–1

Goal count · Over 2.562%-165fair-152mkt+1.9%

1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+136fair—mkt—

HOU v CHI CHI

FT · 2–1

Goal count · Over 2.561%-156fair-133mkt+3.9%

1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+141fair—mkt—

DAL v TOR TOR

FT · 3–2

Goal count · Over 2.549%+102fair-117mkt-4.4%

1st-half goals · Over 1.534%+198fair—mkt—

LAFC v MIA MIA

FT · 3–0

Goal count · Over 2.569%-227fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.548%+108fair—mkt—

SD v MTL MTL

FT · 5–0

Goal count · Over 2.561%-158fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+140fair—mkt—

POR v CLB CLB

FT · 3–2

Goal count · Over 2.559%-141fair-147mkt-0.9%

1st-half goals · Over 1.540%+151fair—mkt—

SJ v SKC SKC

FT · 3–0

Goal count · Over 2.569%-226fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.548%+109fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered (goal count and 1st-half totals; the two 1st-half/both-halves markets are model-only). Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).