MLS Team Props
Every game's team markets from our xG goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.
⚙ New model, graded in the open. Team markets are priced by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no US book hangs them). Grading against the box score is coming to this board. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
Saturday, February 28
CHI v MTL
FT · 3–0
Goal count · Over 2.564%-174fair-145mkt+4.4%
1st-half goals · Over 1.543%+131fair—mkt—
RBNY v NE
FT · 1–0
Goal count · Over 2.562%-163fair-134mkt+4.7%
1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+137fair—mkt—
COL v POR
FT · 2–0
Goal count · Over 2.563%-167fair-155mkt+1.8%
1st-half goals · Over 1.543%+134fair—mkt—
MIN v CIN
FT · 1–0
Goal count · Over 2.558%-137fair-111mkt+5.3%
1st-half goals · Over 1.539%+155fair—mkt—
SJ v ATL
FT · 2–0
Goal count · Over 2.562%-166fair-137mkt+4.6%
1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+135fair—mkt—
RSL v SEA
FT · 2–1
Goal count · Over 2.554%-118fair-101mkt+3.8%
1st-half goals · Over 1.537%+172fair—mkt—
HOU v LAFC
FT · 0–2
Goal count · Over 2.555%-121fair-117mkt+0.9%
1st-half goals · Over 1.537%+169fair—mkt—
SKC v CLB
FT · 2–2
Goal count · Over 2.563%-168fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.543%+134fair—mkt—
DAL v NSH
FT · 0–0
Goal count · Over 2.561%-157fair-122mkt+6.0%
1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+140fair—mkt—
VAN v TOR
FT · 3–0
Goal count · Over 2.557%-131fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.538%+161fair—mkt—
LA v CLT
FT · 3–0
Goal count · Over 2.561%-156fair-136mkt+3.4%
1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+141fair—mkt—
Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered (goal count and 1st-half totals; the two 1st-half/both-halves markets are model-only). Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).