MLS Team Props

Every game's team markets from our xG goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Team markets are priced by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no US book hangs them). Grading against the box score is coming to this board. Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Saturday, March 14

TOR v RBNY RBNY

FT · 1–1

Goal count · Over 2.550%+102fair-112mkt-3.2%

1st-half goals · Over 1.534%+197fair—mkt—

ATL v PHI PHI

FT · 3–1

Goal count · Over 2.556%-128fair+102mkt+6.6%

1st-half goals · Over 1.538%+162fair—mkt—

CLB v NSH NSH

FT · 0–1

Goal count · Over 2.560%-147fair-152mkt-0.8%

1st-half goals · Over 1.540%+147fair—mkt—

ORL v MTL MTL

FT · 2–1

Goal count · Over 2.565%-185fair-146mkt+5.5%

1st-half goals · Over 1.544%+125fair—mkt—

CLT v MIA MIA

FT · 0–0

Goal count · Over 2.568%-211fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.547%+114fair—mkt—

NYC v COL COL

FT · 3–1

Goal count · Over 2.562%-162fair-135mkt+4.4%

1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+137fair—mkt—

CHI v DC

FT · 1–2

Goal count · Over 2.558%-138fair-125mkt+2.4%

1st-half goals · Over 1.539%+155fair—mkt—

DAL v SD

FT · 3–3

Goal count · Over 2.554%-115fair-127mkt-2.4%

1st-half goals · Over 1.536%+175fair—mkt—

HOU v POR POR

FT · 3–2

Goal count · Over 2.555%-122fair-142mkt-3.7%

1st-half goals · Over 1.537%+168fair—mkt—

RSL v ATX ATX

FT · 2–1

Goal count · Over 2.558%-138fair-104mkt+6.9%

1st-half goals · Over 1.539%+154fair—mkt—

LA v SKC SKC

FT · 1–2

Goal count · Over 2.567%-207fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.546%+116fair—mkt—

LAFC v STL STL

FT · 2–0

Goal count · Over 2.566%-192fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.545%+122fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered (goal count and 1st-half totals; the two 1st-half/both-halves markets are model-only). Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).