MLS Team Props

Every game's team markets from our xG goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Team markets are priced by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no US book hangs them). Grading against the box score is coming to this board. Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Saturday, April 18

TOR v ATX ATX

FT · 3–3

Goal count · Over 2.547%+114fair+105mkt-1.9%

1st-half goals · Over 1.532%+214fair—mkt—

MTL v RBNY RBNY

FT · 4–1

Goal count · Over 2.563%-172fair-148mkt+3.7%

1st-half goals · Over 1.543%+131fair—mkt—

COL v MIA MIA

FT · 2–3

Goal count · Over 2.574%-280fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.552%-107fair—mkt—

NE v CLB CLB

FT · 2–1

Goal count · Over 2.554%-117fair-108mkt+2.0%

1st-half goals · Over 1.537%+173fair—mkt—

PHI v DC

FT · 0–0

Goal count · Over 2.553%-113fair+118mkt+7.0%

1st-half goals · Over 1.536%+179fair—mkt—

ORL v HOU HOU

FT · 0–1

Goal count · Over 2.564%-180fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.544%+127fair—mkt—

NYC v CLT CLT

FT · 1–2

Goal count · Over 2.557%-134fair-121mkt+2.5%

1st-half goals · Over 1.539%+157fair—mkt—

CIN v CHI CHI

FT · 3–3

Goal count · Over 2.563%-168fair-143mkt+3.9%

1st-half goals · Over 1.543%+134fair—mkt—

ATL v NSH NSH

FT · 0–2

Goal count · Over 2.556%-126fair-111mkt+3.1%

1st-half goals · Over 1.538%+164fair—mkt—

DAL v LA

FT · 2–2

Goal count · Over 2.561%-159fair-150mkt+1.5%

1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+139fair—mkt—

MIN v POR POR

FT · 2–0

Goal count · Over 2.564%-177fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.544%+129fair—mkt—

SEA v STL STL

FT · 4–1

Goal count · Over 2.556%-126fair-135mkt-1.7%

1st-half goals · Over 1.538%+164fair—mkt—

RSL v SD

FT · 4–2

Goal count · Over 2.566%-190fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.545%+122fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered (goal count and 1st-half totals; the two 1st-half/both-halves markets are model-only). Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).