MLS Team Props
Every game's team markets from our xG goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.
⚙ New model, graded in the open. Team markets are priced by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no US book hangs them). Grading against the box score is coming to this board. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
Saturday, May 23
STL v ATX
FT · 3–0
Goal count · Over 2.566%-191fair-140mkt+7.3%
1st-half goals · Over 1.545%+123fair—mkt—
MIN v RSL
FT · 1–1
Goal count · Over 2.563%-169fair-138mkt+4.9%
1st-half goals · Over 1.543%+133fair—mkt—
DC v MTL
FT · 4–4
Goal count · Over 2.553%-114fair-124mkt-1.9%
1st-half goals · Over 1.536%+176fair—mkt—
CLT v NE
FT · 1–0
Goal count · Over 2.558%-139fair-132mkt+1.2%
1st-half goals · Over 1.539%+154fair—mkt—
CIN v ORL
FT · 6–2
Goal count · Over 2.576%-320fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.554%-117fair—mkt—
CHI v TOR
FT · 2–1
Goal count · Over 2.561%-156fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+141fair—mkt—
SKC v RBNY
FT · 1–2
Goal count · Over 2.565%-187fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.545%+124fair—mkt—
NSH v NYC
FT · 2–1
Goal count · Over 2.555%-122fair-110mkt+2.6%
1st-half goals · Over 1.537%+168fair—mkt—
POR v SJ
FT · 1–3
Goal count · Over 2.569%-219fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.547%+111fair—mkt—
SD v VAN
FT · 2–4
Goal count · Over 2.567%-207fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.546%+115fair—mkt—
COL v DAL
FT · 1–2
Goal count · Over 2.560%-150fair-145mkt+0.9%
1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+145fair—mkt—
LA v HOU
FT · 1–1
Goal count · Over 2.554%-118fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.537%+172fair—mkt—
Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered (goal count and 1st-half totals; the two 1st-half/both-halves markets are model-only). Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).