MLS Team Props

Every game's team markets from our xG goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Team markets are priced by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no US book hangs them). Grading against the box score is coming to this board. Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Saturday, August 1

MTL v NE

FT · 2–2

Goal count · Over 2.557%-132fair-124mkt+1.6%

1st-half goals · Over 1.539%+159fair—mkt—

PHI v ATL ATL

FT · 3–2

Goal count · Over 2.562%-160fair-151mkt+1.4%

1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+139fair—mkt—

VAN v LAFC LAFC

FT · 1–1

Goal count · Over 2.563%-168fair-151mkt+2.5%

1st-half goals · Over 1.543%+134fair—mkt—

DC v NSH NSH

FT · 2–2

Goal count · Over 2.554%-116fair-103mkt+3.1%

1st-half goals · Over 1.536%+174fair—mkt—

RBNY v ORL ORL

FT · 3–2

Goal count · Over 2.571%-240fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.549%+104fair—mkt—

MIA v CLB CLB

FT · 2–2

Goal count · Over 2.568%-215fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.547%+113fair—mkt—

MIN v SD

FT · 1–1

Goal count · Over 2.562%-166fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.543%+135fair—mkt—

STL v RSL RSL

FT · 1–1

Goal count · Over 2.560%-150fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+145fair—mkt—

SKC v HOU HOU

FT · 0–2

Goal count · Over 2.551%-103fair-134mkt-6.6%

1st-half goals · Over 1.534%+191fair—mkt—

CHI v CLT CLT

FT · 2–1

Goal count · Over 2.567%-201fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.546%+118fair—mkt—

COL v ATX ATX

FT · 1–0

Goal count · Over 2.560%-149fair-129mkt+3.5%

1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+146fair—mkt—

CIN v SJ

FT · 4–2

Goal count · Over 2.575%-293fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.552%-110fair—mkt—

LA v DAL DAL

FT · 0–0

Goal count · Over 2.564%-178fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.544%+129fair—mkt—

POR v SEA SEA

FT · 2–1

Goal count · Over 2.564%-175fair—mkt—

1st-half goals · Over 1.543%+130fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered (goal count and 1st-half totals; the two 1st-half/both-halves markets are model-only). Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).