Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano are 12th in La Liga, 2-2-3, with 1.57 scored and 2.29 conceded a game — and the goals against are the story of the season.
Next match
Oct 10 · 8:00 AM ETRayo VallecanoHOME44%1.4proj+128fair+184mktModel lean+8.6%
Athletic ClubAWAY27%1.1proj+267fair+173mkt-9.4%This season
La Liga · 2026-27How the model graded them
2026-27Every pick the model made on Rayo Vallecano this season, wins and losses both. The three samples differ because a market only grades where a book quoted it. 7 matches is far too few to read anything into — soccer is a high-variance sport and a season is the horizon. Not betting advice.
In the table
Full La Liga table
Rayo Vallecano7-58
Rayo Vallecano's season
2026-27Where they stand
Rayo Vallecano sit 12th on 8 points after 7 matches. That's mid-table — clear of trouble, short of Europe. That's 1.14 points a game.
Going forward
Rayo Vallecano have scored 11 goals in 7 matches — 1.57 a game. That's a healthy return — enough that they're rarely priced as the quiet half of a low-scoring game. 71% of their matches have finished with three goals or more.
At the back
Rayo Vallecano have conceded 16 goals, 2.29 a game. That's the number holding the season back. They haven't kept a clean sheet yet.
Better at home
Rayo Vallecano are 2-1-0 at home and 0-1-3 away. That's 2.33 points a game against 0.25. Home advantage is real in this sport, but a gap this size is bigger than the league-wide effect and usually narrows.
The shape of their games
Their matches are open at both ends. Both teams have scored in 100% of Rayo Vallecano's matches, and 71% have gone past two and a half goals. Those two numbers are what the totals and both-teams-to-score markets on this club's fixtures get priced from.
How the model has done on them
The goal model has called 7 matches involving Rayo Vallecano this season and got 5 right — 71%. A three-way market makes a blind guess hard, so on this sample that's real — with the caveat that the sample is small. Every projection freezes at kickoff and gets scored against the result, wins and losses both. 7 matches is a small sample in a sport where a deflection settles games, so treat it as a record, not a forecast.
Next up
Rayo Vallecano are at home to Athletic Club. The board above carries our win/draw/win probabilities for it, the goals total, both-teams-to-score, and the fair odds each of those implies — with the book's number beside ours wherever a book has hung one. 4 more fixtures follow on the schedule below.
Common questions
Where are Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga table?
Rayo Vallecano are 12th on 8 points from 7 matches, with 11 goals scored and 16 goals conceded.
How many goals do Rayo Vallecano score a game?
Rayo Vallecano are averaging 1.57 goals a game this season and conceding 2.29. 71% of their matches have finished with three or more goals.
Does MatchWiz predict Rayo Vallecano matches?
Every Rayo Vallecano fixture gets win/draw/win probabilities, a goals total and both-teams-to-score from our goal model, published with the book's line beside them. The model has called 7 matches of theirs this season and got 5 right. These are research signals, not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.
