Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Trail Blazers118
Warriors128FinalChase CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trail Blazers | 26 | 32 | 33 | 27 | 118 |
 Warriors | 35 | 32 | 38 | 23 | 128 |
Box score
FinalPortland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja MorantGuard | 27 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 8-10 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Damian LillardG | 26 | 23 | 1 | 3 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 13-13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Toumani CamaraF | 24 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Donovan ClinganC | 24 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Deni AvdijaF | 23 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5-15 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Yang HansenC | 20 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Scoot HendersonG | 19 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 7-16 | 1-8 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
| Vit KrejciG | 19 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Sidy CissokoG | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jeremy SochanF | 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| John TonjeForward | 12 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jayson KentGuard | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Branden CarlsonC | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 118 | 43 | 21 | 42-87 | 14-40 | 20-24 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 28 |
Did not play Jaylen Martin coach's decision
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin PodziemskiG | 27 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 6-7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Stephen CurryG | 26 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 7-19 | 3-11 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Yaxel LendeborgF | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Draymond GreenF | 24 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Gui SantosF | 21 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| De'Anthony MeltonG | 19 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Gary Payton IIG | 17 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Georges NiangF | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Will RichardG | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Al HorfordC | 15 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Charles BasseyC | 8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Graham IkeF | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| LJ CryerG | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler BurtonF | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Malevy LeonsF | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex TooheyF | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 128 | 39 | 29 | 42-86 | 18-44 | 26-31 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 14 | 25 |
Did not play Brandon Williams coach's decision · Dalen Terry coach's decision · Miles Kelly coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Trail Blazers | Warriors | |
|---|---|---|
| 42-87 | FG | 42-86 |
| 48.3% | FG% | 48.8% |
| 14-40 | 3PT | 18-44 |
| 35.0% | 3PT% | 40.9% |
| 20-24 | FT | 26-31 |
| 43 | Rebounds | 39 |
| 13 | Off reb | 10 |
| 21 | Assists | 29 |
| 4 | Steals | 10 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 28 | Fouls | 25 |
102.6 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Both clubs on 2 days' rest.
What the model says
Friday, October 16ProjectedTrail Blazers 115.6 · Warriors 117.4
Our lineWarriors −1.8
Total233.0
Win probWarriors 57% · Trail Blazers 43%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.