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Projected passing yards for every starting quarterback this week, with the matchup and volume behind the number.
DAL @ NYGSun 8 PMDak PrescottQB286 pass yd255.5 ydMGM-115+11.9%WizEdge
DAL @ NYGSun 8 PM286yd175ydof 255.5
LAR vs SFThu 8 PMMatthew StaffordQB279 pass yd263.5 ydFD-113+5.9%WizEdge
LAR vs SFThu 8 PM279yd155ydof 263.5
DET vs NOSun 1 PMJared GoffQB274 pass yd258.5 ydFD-113+5.9%WizEdge
DET vs NOSun 1 PM274yd206ydof 258.5
CIN vs TBSun 1 PMJoe BurrowQB273 pass yd269.5 ydFD-113+1.3%WizEdge
CIN vs TBSun 1 PM273yd254ydof 269.5
CHI @ CARSun 1 PMCaleb WilliamsQB257 pass yd224.5 ydFD-113+14.6%WizEdge
CHI @ CARSun 1 PM257yd269ydof 224.5
PIT vs ATLSun 1 PMAaron RodgersQB255 pass yd210.5 ydFAN-115+21.2%WizEdge
PIT vs ATLSun 1 PM255yd221ydof 210.5
HOU vs BUFSun 1 PMC.J. StroudQB252 pass yd223.5 ydDK-111+12.7%WizEdge
HOU vs BUFSun 1 PM252yd274ydof 223.5
ARI @ LACSun 4 PMJacoby BrissettQB251 pass yd220.5 ydFAN-110+13.7%WizEdge
ARI @ LACSun 4 PM251yd277ydof 220.5
TEN vs NYJSun 1 PMCam WardQB251 pass yd205.5 ydMGM-110+21.9%WizEdge
TEN vs NYJSun 1 PM251yd140ydof 205.5
SF @ LARThu 8 PMBrock PurdyQB249 pass yd242.5 ydDK-112+2.9%WizEdge
SF @ LARThu 8 PM249yd205ydof 242.5
ATL @ PITSun 1 PMCooper RushQB248 pass yd174.5 ydFD-113+42.0%WizEdge
ATL @ PITSun 1 PM248yd143ydof 174.5
IND vs BALSun 1 PMDaniel JonesQB247 pass yd231.5 ydDK-112+6.9%WizEdge
IND vs BALSun 1 PM247yd166ydof 231.5
TB @ CINSun 1 PMBaker MayfieldQB247 pass yd232.5 ydDK-111+6.3%WizEdge
TB @ CINSun 1 PM247yd216ydof 232.5
CAR vs CHISun 1 PMBryce YoungQB246 pass yd209.5 ydDK-111+17.6%WizEdge
CAR vs CHISun 1 PM246yd361ydof 209.5
NYJ @ TENSun 1 PMGeno SmithQB243 pass yd208.5 ydMGM-115+16.7%WizEdge
NYJ @ TENSun 1 PM243yd215ydof 208.5
GB @ MINSun 4 PMJordan LoveQB241 pass yd237.5 ydDK-111+1.7%WizEdge
GB @ MINSun 4 PM241yd387ydof 237.5
NO @ DETSun 1 PMTyler ShoughQB236 pass yd240.5 ydDK-113−1.7%WizEdge
NO @ DETSun 1 PM236yd410ydof 240.5
LV vs MIASun 4 PMKirk CousinsQB236 pass yd204.5 ydDK-111+15.2%WizEdge
LV vs MIASun 4 PM236yd160ydof 204.5
BAL @ INDSun 1 PMLamar JacksonQB228 pass yd215.5 ydFAN-115+5.8%WizEdge
BAL @ INDSun 1 PM228yd324ydof 215.5
NE @ SEAWed 8 PMDrake MayeQB227 pass yd230.5 ydDK-112−1.5%WizEdge
NE @ SEAWed 8 PM227yd178ydof 230.5
NYG vs DALSun 8 PMJaxson DartQB227 pass yd213.5 ydDK-111+6.1%WizEdge
NYG vs DALSun 8 PM227yd230ydof 213.5
PHI vs WSHSun 4 PMJalen HurtsQB226 pass yd210.5 ydFAN-115+7.2%WizEdge
PHI vs WSHSun 4 PM226yd203ydof 210.5
LAC vs ARISun 4 PMJustin HerbertQB225 pass yd236.5 ydDK-112−4.8%WizEdge
LAC vs ARISun 4 PM225yd209ydof 236.5
KC vs DENMon 8 PMPatrick MahomesQB221 pass yd223.5 ydFD-113−1.1%WizEdge
KC vs DENMon 8 PM221yd184ydof 223.5
JAX vs CLESun 1 PMTrevor LawrenceQB216 pass yd225.5 ydFAN-120−4.1%WizEdge
JAX vs CLESun 1 PM216yd245ydof 225.5
CLE @ JAXSun 1 PMDeshaun WatsonQB216 pass yd174.5 ydMGM-120+23.7%WizEdge
CLE @ JAXSun 1 PM216yd205ydof 174.5
BUF @ HOUSun 1 PMJosh AllenQB213 pass yd220.5 ydFAN-110−3.3%WizEdge
BUF @ HOUSun 1 PM213yd334ydof 220.5
WSH @ PHISun 4 PMJayden DanielsQB212 pass yd202.5 ydDK-112+4.8%WizEdge
WSH @ PHISun 4 PM212yd164ydof 202.5
MIN vs GBSun 4 PMKyler MurrayQB203 pass yd218.5 ydFD-113−7.1%WizEdge
MIN vs GBSun 4 PM203yd18ydof 218.5How often our number landed on the right side of the line a book actually posted. Every quoted line counts, not just the big disagreements — and a push settles as neither. There are no units here: two seasons of walk-forward say these lines are efficient, so we grade accuracy and don't claim an edge we can't show. Green means it beat what picking a side with no model at all would have scored.
Every number here comes from the same drive-level simulation as the matchups board, so a player's line and his team's projected points are the same game. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
