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Projected passing yards for every starting quarterback this week, with the matchup and volume behind the number.
GB @ NYJSun 1 PMJordan LoveQB276 pass yd250.5 ydFAN-120+10.2%WizEdge
GB @ NYJSun 1 PM276yd145ydof 250.5
NO @ BALSun 1 PMTyler ShoughQB260 pass yd230.5 ydDK-112+12.9%WizEdge
NO @ BALSun 1 PM260yd252ydof 230.5
DET @ BUFThu 8 PMJared GoffQB257 pass yd255.5 ydFAN-115+0.6%WizEdge
DET @ BUFThu 8 PM257yd327ydof 255.5
WSH @ DALSun 4 PMJayden DanielsQB248 pass yd200.5 ydFAN-115+23.6%WizEdge
WSH @ DALSun 4 PM248yd96ydof 200.5
CAR @ ATLSun 1 PMBryce YoungQB244 pass yd220.5 ydFAN-110+10.4%WizEdge
CAR @ ATLSun 1 PM244yd287ydof 220.5
CIN @ HOUSun 1 PMJoe BurrowQB243 pass yd250.5 ydFAN-110−2.8%WizEdge
CIN @ HOUSun 1 PM243yd207ydof 250.5
CHI vs MINSun 1 PMCaleb WilliamsQB242 pass yd225.5 ydDK-112+7.4%WizEdge
CHI vs MINSun 1 PM242yd138ydof 225.5
MIA @ SFSun 4 PMMalik WillisQB242 pass yd178.5 ydMGM-125+35.3%WizEdge
MIA @ SFSun 4 PM242yd197ydof 178.5
KC vs INDSun 8 PMPatrick MahomesQB242 pass yd221.5 ydDK-113+9.1%WizEdge
KC vs INDSun 8 PM242yd382ydof 221.5
PHI @ TENSun 1 PMJalen HurtsQB241 pass yd205.5 ydMGM-115+17.2%WizEdge
PHI @ TENSun 1 PM241yd264ydof 205.5
MIN @ CHISun 1 PMCarson WentzQB240 pass yd212.5 ydDK-114+12.9%WizEdge
MIN @ CHISun 1 PM240yd143ydof 212.5
DAL vs WSHSun 4 PMDak PrescottQB239 pass yd266.5 ydDK-112−10.3%WizEdge
DAL vs WSHSun 4 PM239yd279ydof 266.5
JAX @ DENSun 4 PMTrevor LawrenceQB239 pass yd222.5 ydDK-113+7.4%WizEdge
JAX @ DENSun 4 PM239yd189ydof 222.5
SEA @ ARISun 4 PMDrew LockQB237 pass yd200.5 ydFAN-120+18.3%WizEdge
SEA @ ARISun 4 PM237yd235ydof 200.5
CLE @ TBSun 1 PMDeshaun WatsonQB237 pass yd175.5 ydFD-113+34.9%WizEdge
CLE @ TBSun 1 PM237yd238ydof 175.5
NYJ vs GBSun 1 PMGeno SmithQB235 pass yd205.5 ydFAN-115+14.4%WizEdge
NYJ vs GBSun 1 PM235yd247ydof 205.5
NYG @ LARMon 8 PMJaxson DartQB235 pass yd210.5 ydFAN-115+11.4%WizEdge
NYG @ LARMon 8 PM235yd20ydof 210.5
DEN vs JAXSun 4 PMBo NixQB234 pass yd220.5 ydFAN-110+6.0%WizEdge
DEN vs JAXSun 4 PM234yd288ydof 220.5
TB vs CLESun 1 PMBaker MayfieldQB233 pass yd215.5 ydFAN-110+8.0%WizEdge
TB vs CLESun 1 PM233yd182ydof 215.5
PIT @ NESun 1 PMAaron RodgersQB230 pass yd205.5 ydDK-113+12.0%WizEdge
PIT @ NESun 1 PM230yd187ydof 205.5
ATL vs CARSun 1 PMCooper RushQB230 pass yd183.5 ydFD-113+25.2%WizEdge
ATL vs CARSun 1 PM230yd86ydof 183.5
LAC vs LVSun 4 PMJustin HerbertQB230 pass yd215.5 ydFAN-120+6.5%WizEdge
LAC vs LVSun 4 PM230yd192ydof 215.5
LAR vs NYGMon 8 PMMatthew StaffordQB229 pass yd238.5 ydFD-113−4.1%WizEdge
LAR vs NYGMon 8 PM229yd327ydof 238.5
TEN vs PHISun 1 PMCam WardQB225 pass yd185.5 ydFD-113+21.3%WizEdge
TEN vs PHISun 1 PM225yd183ydof 185.5
IND @ KCSun 8 PMDaniel JonesQB224 pass yd214.5 ydMGM-115+4.5%WizEdge
IND @ KCSun 8 PM224yd210ydof 214.5
HOU vs CINSun 1 PMC.J. StroudQB223 pass yd217.5 ydMGM-115+2.6%WizEdge
HOU vs CINSun 1 PM223yd353ydof 217.5
ARI vs SEASun 4 PMJacoby BrissettQB220 pass yd215.5 ydFAN-115+2.1%WizEdge
ARI vs SEASun 4 PM220yd95ydof 215.5
LV @ LACSun 4 PMKirk CousinsQB218 pass yd190.5 ydFAN-115+14.5%WizEdge
LV @ LACSun 4 PM218yd253ydof 190.5
BUF vs DETThu 8 PMJosh AllenQB214 pass yd250.5 ydFAN-110−14.7%WizEdge
BUF vs DETThu 8 PM214yd248ydof 250.5
NE vs PITSun 1 PMDrake MayeQB213 pass yd220.5 ydFAN-115−3.4%WizEdge
NE vs PITSun 1 PM213yd208ydof 220.5How often our number landed on the right side of the line a book actually posted. Every quoted line counts, not just the big disagreements — and a push settles as neither. There are no units here: two seasons of walk-forward say these lines are efficient, so we grade accuracy and don't claim an edge we can't show. Green means it beat what picking a side with no model at all would have scored.
Every number here comes from the same drive-level simulation as the matchups board, so a player's line and his team's projected points are the same game. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).