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Projected passing yards for every starting quarterback this week, with the matchup and volume behind the number.
HOU @ INDSun 1 PMC.J. StroudQB271 pass yd239.5 ydDK-112+13.0%WizEdge
HOU @ INDSun 1 PM271yd167ydof 239.5
GB vs ATLThu 8 PMJordan LoveQB271 pass yd231.5 ydDK-111+16.9%WizEdge
GB vs ATLThu 8 PM271yd312ydof 231.5
CAR @ CLESun 1 PMBryce YoungQB269 pass yd220.5 ydDK-112+22.2%WizEdge
CAR @ CLESun 1 PM269yd290ydof 220.5
DAL vs BALSun 4 PMDak PrescottQB258 pass yd260.5 ydFAN-115−1.1%WizEdge
DAL vs BALSun 4 PM258yd276ydof 260.5
BAL @ DALSun 4 PMLamar JacksonQB251 pass yd235.5 ydFAN-120+6.4%WizEdge
BAL @ DALSun 4 PM251yd186ydof 235.5
KC @ MIASun 1 PMPatrick MahomesQB249 pass yd235.5 ydFAN-110+5.5%WizEdge
KC @ MIASun 1 PM249yd246ydof 235.5
ATL @ GBThu 8 PMMichael Penix Jr.QB247 pass yd204.5 ydFD-113+20.9%WizEdge
ATL @ GBThu 8 PM247yd256ydof 204.5
JAX vs NESun 1 PMTrevor LawrenceQB245 pass yd225.5 ydFAN-120+8.5%WizEdge
JAX vs NESun 1 PM245yd182ydof 225.5
SEA @ WSHSun 1 PMSam DarnoldQB242 pass yd220.5 ydMGM-115+9.7%WizEdge
SEA @ WSHSun 1 PM242yd379ydof 220.5
LAR @ DENSun 8 PMMatthew StaffordQB239 pass yd236.5 ydDK-112+1.1%WizEdge
LAR @ DENSun 8 PM239yd390ydof 236.5
NYJ @ DETSun 1 PMGeno SmithQB235 pass yd220.5 ydFAN-115+6.6%WizEdge
NYJ @ DETSun 1 PM235yd321ydof 220.5
DET vs NYJSun 1 PMJared GoffQB234 pass yd255.5 ydFAN-115−8.4%WizEdge
DET vs NYJSun 1 PM234yd269ydof 255.5
NO vs LVSun 4 PMTyler ShoughQB234 pass yd253.5 ydDK-112−7.7%WizEdge
NO vs LVSun 4 PM234yd255ydof 253.5
PHI @ CHIMon 8 PMJalen HurtsQB234 pass yd213.5 ydMGM-125+9.4%WizEdge
PHI @ CHIMon 8 PM234yd153ydof 213.5
CIN @ PITSun 1 PMJoe BurrowQB233 pass yd251.5 ydFD-113−7.4%WizEdge
CIN @ PITSun 1 PM233yd282ydof 251.5
TEN @ NYGSun 1 PMCam WardQB231 pass yd175.5 ydDK-113+31.8%WizEdge
TEN @ NYGSun 1 PM231yd181ydof 175.5
LAC @ BUFSun 1 PMJustin HerbertQB231 pass yd225.5 ydFD-113+2.6%WizEdge
LAC @ BUFSun 1 PM231yd226ydof 225.5
ARI @ SFSun 4 PMJacoby BrissettQB231 pass yd225.5 ydFD-113+2.5%WizEdge
ARI @ SFSun 4 PM231yd280ydof 225.5
MIN @ TBSun 4 PMKyler MurrayQB231 pass yd210.5 ydFAN-110+9.6%WizEdge
MIN @ TBSun 4 PM231yd168ydof 210.5
PIT vs CINSun 1 PMAaron RodgersQB231 pass yd215.5 ydFAN-120+7.0%WizEdge
PIT vs CINSun 1 PM231yd292ydof 215.5
IND vs HOUSun 1 PMDaniel JonesQB224 pass yd208.5 ydMGM-115+7.4%WizEdge
IND vs HOUSun 1 PM224yd235ydof 208.5
NE @ JAXSun 1 PMDrake MayeQB223 pass yd222.5 ydFD-113+0.2%WizEdge
NE @ JAXSun 1 PM223yd199ydof 222.5
SF vs ARISun 4 PMBrock PurdyQB222 pass yd230.5 ydFAN-120−3.6%WizEdge
SF vs ARISun 4 PM222yd297ydof 230.5
DEN vs LARSun 8 PMBo NixQB218 pass yd211.5 ydDK-112+3.3%WizEdge
DEN vs LARSun 8 PM218yd186ydof 211.5
NYG vs TENSun 1 PMJameis WinstonQB216 pass yd195.5 ydMGM-115+10.6%WizEdge
NYG vs TENSun 1 PM216yd118ydof 195.5
WSH vs SEASun 1 PMMarcus MariotaQB216 pass yd170.5 ydFAN-120+26.8%WizEdge
WSH vs SEASun 1 PM216yd183ydof 170.5
TB vs MINSun 4 PMBaker MayfieldQB216 pass yd213.5 ydMGM-115+1.2%WizEdge
TB vs MINSun 4 PM216yd217ydof 213.5
LV @ NOSun 4 PMKirk CousinsQB207 pass yd211.5 ydFD-113−1.9%WizEdge
LV @ NOSun 4 PM207yd248ydof 211.5
CLE vs CARSun 1 PMDeshaun WatsonQB205 pass yd186.5 ydDK-113+9.9%WizEdge
CLE vs CARSun 1 PM205yd144ydof 186.5How often our number landed on the right side of the line a book actually posted. Every quoted line counts, not just the big disagreements — and a push settles as neither. There are no units here: two seasons of walk-forward say these lines are efficient, so we grade accuracy and don't claim an edge we can't show. Green means it beat what picking a side with no model at all would have scored.
Every number here comes from the same drive-level simulation as the matchups board, so a player's line and his team's projected points are the same game. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
