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Projected passing yards for every starting quarterback this week, with the matchup and volume behind the number.
CAR vs DETSun 8 PMBryce YoungQB295 pass yd244.5 ydDK-112+20.7%WizEdge
CAR vs DETSun 8 PM295yd329ydof 244.5
GB @ TBSun 1 PMJordan LoveQB279 pass yd238.5 ydFD-113+17.2%WizEdge
GB @ TBSun 1 PM279yd197ydof 238.5
SEA vs LACSun 4 PMSam DarnoldQB278 pass yd232.5 ydDK-113+19.8%WizEdge
SEA vs LACSun 4 PM278yd168ydof 232.5
LAR @ PHISun 1 PMMatthew StaffordQB273 pass yd250.5 ydFAN-110+8.8%WizEdge
LAR @ PHISun 1 PM273yd316ydof 250.5
CIN vs JAXSun 1 PMJoe BurrowQB269 pass yd270.5 ydMGM-115−0.7%WizEdge
CIN vs JAXSun 1 PM269yd428ydof 270.5
HOU vs DALSun 1 PMC.J. StroudQB262 pass yd244.5 ydDK-112+7.0%WizEdge
HOU vs DALSun 1 PM262yd347ydof 244.5
JAX @ CINSun 1 PMTrevor LawrenceQB254 pass yd258.5 ydDK-113−1.9%WizEdge
JAX @ CINSun 1 PM254yd227ydof 258.5
DET @ CARSun 8 PMJared GoffQB253 pass yd258.5 ydMGM+100−2.2%WizEdge
DET @ CARSun 8 PM253yd412ydof 258.5
NO vs ATLMon 8 PMTyler ShoughQB252 pass yd255.5 ydFAN-120−1.2%WizEdge
NO vs ATLMon 8 PM252yd286ydof 255.5
DAL @ HOUSun 1 PMDak PrescottQB252 pass yd262.5 ydMGM-115−4.0%WizEdge
DAL @ HOUSun 1 PM252yd335ydof 262.5
WSH vs INDSun 9 AMMarcus MariotaQB249 pass yd205.5 ydFAN-110+21.0%WizEdge
WSH vs INDSun 9 AM249yd46ydof 205.5
NYJ @ CHISun 1 PMGeno SmithQB248 pass yd223.5 ydMGM-125+11.1%WizEdge
NYJ @ CHISun 1 PM248yd119ydof 223.5
PIT @ CLEThu 8 PMAaron RodgersQB248 pass yd216.5 ydDK-113+14.6%WizEdge
PIT @ CLEThu 8 PM248yd299ydof 216.5
TEN @ BALSun 1 PMCam WardQB245 pass yd185.5 ydFAN-120+32.2%WizEdge
TEN @ BALSun 1 PM245yd222ydof 185.5
KC @ LVSun 4 PMPatrick MahomesQB242 pass yd238.5 ydDK-111+1.5%WizEdge
KC @ LVSun 4 PM242yd225ydof 238.5
IND @ WSHSun 9 AMDaniel JonesQB240 pass yd219.5 ydFD-113+9.5%WizEdge
IND @ WSHSun 9 AM240yd143ydof 219.5
SF vs DENSun 4 PMBrock PurdyQB238 pass yd230.5 ydFAN-115+3.4%WizEdge
SF vs DENSun 4 PM238yd218ydof 230.5
CHI vs NYJSun 1 PMTyson BagentQB236 pass yd200.5 ydDK-114+17.5%WizEdge
CHI vs NYJSun 1 PM236yd268ydof 200.5
ATL @ NOMon 8 PMMichael Penix Jr.QB233 pass yd220.5 ydFAN-115+5.6%WizEdge
ATL @ NOMon 8 PM233yd223ydof 220.5
BAL vs TENSun 1 PMLamar JacksonQB232 pass yd213.5 ydFD-113+8.5%WizEdge
BAL vs TENSun 1 PM232yd222ydof 213.5
ARI @ NYGSun 1 PMJacoby BrissettQB231 pass yd230.5 ydFAN-110+0.3%WizEdge
ARI @ NYGSun 1 PM231yd166ydof 230.5
NYG vs ARISun 1 PMJameis WinstonQB228 pass yd205.5 ydFAN-110+10.9%WizEdge
NYG vs ARISun 1 PM228yd250ydof 205.5
TB vs GBSun 1 PMJalon DanielsQB228 pass yd165.5 ydFAN-125+37.6%WizEdge
TB vs GBSun 1 PM228yd148ydof 165.5
LAC @ SEASun 4 PMJustin HerbertQB224 pass yd199.5 ydFD-113+12.5%WizEdge
LAC @ SEASun 4 PM224yd189ydof 199.5
NE @ BUFSun 1 PMDrake MayeQB222 pass yd228.5 ydMGM-115−3.0%WizEdge
NE @ BUFSun 1 PM222yd269ydof 228.5
LV vs KCSun 4 PMKirk CousinsQB217 pass yd223.5 ydDK-111−2.8%WizEdge
LV vs KCSun 4 PM217yd365ydof 223.5
MIN vs MIASun 4 PMKyler MurrayQB213 pass yd205.5 ydMGM-115+3.8%WizEdge
MIN vs MIASun 4 PM213yd247ydof 205.5
PHI vs LARSun 1 PMJalen HurtsQB205 pass yd186.5 ydDK-113+9.8%WizEdge
PHI vs LARSun 1 PM205yd93ydof 186.5
MIA @ MINSun 4 PMMalik WillisQB203 pass yd169.5 ydDK-113+19.7%WizEdge
MIA @ MINSun 4 PM203yd85ydof 169.5How often our number landed on the right side of the line a book actually posted. Every quoted line counts, not just the big disagreements — and a push settles as neither. There are no units here: two seasons of walk-forward say these lines are efficient, so we grade accuracy and don't claim an edge we can't show. Green means it beat what picking a side with no model at all would have scored.
Every number here comes from the same drive-level simulation as the matchups board, so a player's line and his team's projected points are the same game. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
