MatchWiz

2026 NFL Rest-of-Season Projections

Fantasy points for the rest of the season, from week 5 on. Every game is simulated drive by drive, so the floor and ceiling come from the same runs as the projection — not a rule of thumb around it.

PlayerGamesCeiling · Proj · Floor
110.8 gamesWR1-12 tierJaxon Smith-NjigbaWRSEA · 14 games on the schedule83% expected availabilitySEA10.8 gamesWR1-12 tier357Ceiling243Proj129Floor
211.0 gamesRB1-12 tierBijan RobinsonRBATL · 15 games on the schedule79% expected availabilityATL11.0 gamesRB1-12 tier337Ceiling232Proj124Floor
310.3 gamesQB1-12 tierJosh AllenQBBUF · 14 games on the schedule79% expected availabilityBUF10.3 gamesQB1-12 tier298Ceiling221Proj112Floor
410.8 gamesWR1-12 tierPuka NacuaWRLAR · 14 games on the schedule83% expected availabilityLAR10.8 gamesWR1-12 tier330Ceiling216Proj109Floor
510.5 gamesQB1-12 tierTrevor LawrenceQBJAX · 14 games on the schedule80% expected availabilityJAX10.5 gamesQB1-12 tier274Ceiling206Proj110Floor
610.5 gamesQB1-12 tierDak PrescottQBDAL · 14 games on the schedule81% expected availabilityDAL10.5 gamesQB1-12 tier271Ceiling204Proj110Floor
710.2 gamesQB1-12 tierJordan LoveQBGB · 14 games on the schedule78% expected availabilityGB10.2 gamesQB1-12 tier274Ceiling201Proj95Floor
810.4 gamesQB1-12 tierMatthew StaffordQBLAR · 14 games on the schedule80% expected availabilityLAR10.4 gamesQB1-12 tier267Ceiling200Proj107Floor
910.2 gamesRB1-12 tierJahmyr GibbsRBDET · 14 games on the schedule78% expected availabilityDET10.2 gamesRB1-12 tier287Ceiling198Proj103Floor
1010.5 gamesQB1-12 tierJared GoffQBDET · 14 games on the schedule81% expected availabilityDET10.5 gamesQB1-12 tier261Ceiling196Proj104Floor
1110.4 gamesQB1-12 tierDrake MayeQBNE · 14 games on the schedule80% expected availabilityNE10.4 gamesQB1-12 tier260Ceiling195Proj101Floor
1210.4 gamesQB1-12 tierSam DarnoldQBSEA · 14 games on the schedule80% expected availabilitySEA10.4 gamesQB1-12 tier259Ceiling193Proj100Floor
1310.8 gamesWR1-12 tierCarnell TateWRTEN · 14 games on the schedule83% expected availabilityTEN10.8 gamesWR1-12 tier295Ceiling193Proj95Floor
1410.4 gamesQB1-12 tierJalen HurtsQBPHI · 14 games on the schedule80% expected availabilityPHI10.4 gamesQB1-12 tier249Ceiling187Proj102Floor
1510.2 gamesRB1-12 tierJonathan TaylorRBIND · 14 games on the schedule78% expected availabilityIND10.2 gamesRB1-12 tier261Ceiling184Proj99Floor
1610.9 gamesWR1-12 tierGarrett WilsonWRNYJ · 14 games on the schedule83% expected availabilityNYJ10.9 gamesWR1-12 tier277Ceiling183Proj93Floor
1710.8 gamesWR1-12 tierAmon-Ra St. BrownWRDET · 14 games on the schedule83% expected availabilityDET10.8 gamesWR1-12 tier282Ceiling182Proj89Floor
1810.2 gamesRB1-12 tierChristian McCaffreyRBSF · 14 games on the schedule78% expected availabilitySF10.2 gamesRB1-12 tier267Ceiling181Proj93Floor
1910.1 gamesQB1-12 tierAthan KaliakmanisQBWSH · 14 games on the schedule78% expected availabilityWSH10.1 gamesQB1-12 tier244Ceiling178Proj84Floor
2010.8 gamesWR1-12 tierJa'Marr ChaseWRCIN · 14 games on the schedule83% expected availabilityCIN10.8 gamesWR1-12 tier267Ceiling175Proj85Floor
219.8 gamesQB1-12 tierLamar JacksonQBBAL · 14 games on the schedule75% expected availabilityBAL9.8 gamesQB1-12 tier235Ceiling169Proj78Floor
2211.7 gamesWR1-12 tierDrake LondonWRATL · 15 games on the schedule84% expected availabilityATL11.7 gamesWR1-12 tier254Ceiling165Proj78Floor
2310.2 gamesRB1-12 tierAshton JeantyRBLV · 14 games on the schedule78% expected availabilityLV10.2 gamesRB1-12 tier237Ceiling163Proj85Floor
249.8 gamesQB13-24 tierBo NixQBDEN · 14 games on the schedule75% expected availabilityDEN9.8 gamesQB13-24 tier230Ceiling163Proj55Floor
2510.2 gamesRB1-12 tierChase BrownRBCIN · 14 games on the schedule78% expected availabilityCIN10.2 gamesRB1-12 tier236Ceiling162Proj85Floor
2610.3 gamesRB1-12 tierKyren WilliamsRBLAR · 14 games on the schedule79% expected availabilityLAR10.3 gamesRB1-12 tier228Ceiling159Proj86Floor
279.4 gamesQB13-24 tierTyler ShoughQBNO · 15 games on the schedule67% expected availabilityNO9.4 gamesQB13-24 tier239Ceiling158Proj32Floor
2810.8 gamesWR1-12 tierZay FlowersWRBAL · 14 games on the schedule83% expected availabilityBAL10.8 gamesWR1-12 tier242Ceiling156Proj74Floor
299.3 gamesQB13-24 tierC.J. StroudQBHOU · 14 games on the schedule71% expected availabilityHOU9.3 gamesQB13-24 tier229Ceiling155Proj42Floor
309.6 gamesQB13-24 tierBryce YoungQBCAR · 13 games on the schedule74% expected availabilityCAR9.6 gamesQB13-24 tier223Ceiling155Proj48Floor
319.2 gamesQB13-24 tierPatrick MahomesQBKC · 13 games on the schedule71% expected availabilityKC9.2 gamesQB13-24 tier230Ceiling154Proj38Floor
3210.8 gamesWR1-12 tierMalik NabersWRNYG · 14 games on the schedule83% expected availabilityNYG10.8 gamesWR1-12 tier237Ceiling153Proj70Floor
3310.7 gamesWR1-12 tierGeorge PickensWRDAL · 14 games on the schedule82% expected availabilityDAL10.7 gamesWR1-12 tier248Ceiling153Proj61Floor
3410.2 gamesRB1-12 tierJames CookRBBUF · 14 games on the schedule79% expected availabilityBUF10.2 gamesRB1-12 tier219Ceiling152Proj81Floor
359.3 gamesQB13-24 tierDaniel JonesQBIND · 14 games on the schedule71% expected availabilityIND9.3 gamesQB13-24 tier223Ceiling151Proj38Floor
368.0 gamesQB1-12 tierMalik WillisQBMIA · 14 games on the schedule61% expected availabilityMIA8.0 gamesQB1-12 tier222Ceiling149Proj45Floor
3710.7 gamesWR1-12 tierCeeDee LambWRDAL · 14 games on the schedule83% expected availabilityDAL10.7 gamesWR1-12 tier235Ceiling147Proj61Floor
389.0 gamesQB13-24 tierMichael Penix Jr.QBATL · 15 games on the schedule64% expected availabilityATL9.0 gamesQB13-24 tier223Ceiling144Proj20Floor
3910.8 gamesWR1-12 tierTetairoa McMillanWRCAR · 13 games on the schedule83% expected availabilityCAR10.8 gamesWR1-12 tier227Ceiling144Proj65Floor
4010.3 gamesRB1-12 tierSaquon BarkleyRBPHI · 14 games on the schedule79% expected availabilityPHI10.3 gamesRB1-12 tier205Ceiling143Proj79Floor
4110.3 gamesRB1-12 tierJavonte WilliamsRBDAL · 14 games on the schedule79% expected availabilityDAL10.3 gamesRB1-12 tier203Ceiling143Proj77Floor
4211.3 gamesWR13-24 tierChris OlaveWRNO · 15 games on the schedule80% expected availabilityNO11.3 gamesWR13-24 tier224Ceiling140Proj57Floor
439.0 gamesQB13-24 tierJalon DanielsQBTB · 14 games on the schedule69% expected availabilityTB9.0 gamesQB13-24 tier211Ceiling139Proj30Floor
448.2 gamesQB13-24 tierBrock PurdyQBSF · 14 games on the schedule63% expected availabilitySF8.2 gamesQB13-24 tier214Ceiling136Proj19Floor
4510.4 gamesWR13-24 tierRashee RiceWRKC · 13 games on the schedule80% expected availabilityKC10.4 gamesWR13-24 tier214Ceiling136Proj58Floor
468.2 gamesQB13-24 tierJoe BurrowQBCIN · 14 games on the schedule63% expected availabilityCIN8.2 gamesQB13-24 tier210Ceiling135Proj16Floor
4710.2 gamesRB1-12 tierBucky IrvingRBTB · 14 games on the schedule79% expected availabilityTB10.2 gamesRB1-12 tier198Ceiling134Proj68Floor
489.7 gamesTE1-12 tierTrey McBrideTEARI · 14 games on the schedule75% expected availabilityARI9.7 gamesTE1-12 tier218Ceiling130Proj46Floor
4910.3 gamesRB1-12 tierOmarion HamptonRBLAC · 14 games on the schedule79% expected availabilityLAC10.3 gamesRB1-12 tier193Ceiling130Proj67Floor
5010.0 gamesRB13-24 tierJeremiyah LoveRBARI · 14 games on the schedule77% expected availabilityARI10.0 gamesRB13-24 tier203Ceiling129Proj53Floor
5110.5 gamesWR13-24 tierChristian WatsonWRGB · 14 games on the schedule81% expected availabilityGB10.5 gamesWR13-24 tier207Ceiling126Proj52Floor
527.1 gamesQB13-24 tierTyson BagentQBCHI · 14 games on the schedule55% expected availabilityCHI7.1 gamesQB13-24 tier202Ceiling124Proj0Floor
5310.5 gamesWR13-24 tierJameson WilliamsWRDET · 14 games on the schedule81% expected availabilityDET10.5 gamesWR13-24 tier209Ceiling124Proj46Floor
5410.5 gamesWR13-24 tierNico CollinsWRHOU · 14 games on the schedule81% expected availabilityHOU10.5 gamesWR13-24 tier201Ceiling123Proj49Floor
557.5 gamesQB13-24 tierKyler MurrayQBMIN · 14 games on the schedule58% expected availabilityMIN7.5 gamesQB13-24 tier198Ceiling122Proj0Floor
5610.0 gamesRB13-24 tierJaylen WarrenRBPIT · 14 games on the schedule77% expected availabilityPIT10.0 gamesRB13-24 tier184Ceiling122Proj53Floor
5710.0 gamesRB13-24 tierD'Andre SwiftRBCHI · 14 games on the schedule77% expected availabilityCHI10.0 gamesRB13-24 tier178Ceiling119Proj54Floor
5810.6 gamesWR13-24 tierWan'Dale RobinsonWRTEN · 14 games on the schedule81% expected availabilityTEN10.6 gamesWR13-24 tier192Ceiling116Proj45Floor
5910.4 gamesTE1-12 tierKyle PittsTEATL · 15 games on the schedule75% expected availabilityATL10.4 gamesTE1-12 tier197Ceiling116Proj38Floor
609.6 gamesTE1-12 tierKenyon SadiqTENYJ · 14 games on the schedule74% expected availabilityNYJ9.6 gamesTE1-12 tier192Ceiling115Proj40Floor
6110.1 gamesRB13-24 tierDerrick HenryRBBAL · 14 games on the schedule77% expected availabilityBAL10.1 gamesRB13-24 tier170Ceiling115Proj53Floor
6210.6 gamesWR13-24 tierEmeka EgbukaWRTB · 14 games on the schedule81% expected availabilityTB10.6 gamesWR13-24 tier180Ceiling112Proj46Floor
6310.0 gamesRB13-24 tierKenneth Walker IIIRBKC · 13 games on the schedule77% expected availabilityKC10.0 gamesRB13-24 tier171Ceiling112Proj48Floor
6410.0 gamesRB13-24 tierQuinshon JudkinsRBCLE · 14 games on the schedule77% expected availabilityCLE10.0 gamesRB13-24 tier167Ceiling112Proj50Floor
659.7 gamesTE1-12 tierBrock BowersTELV · 14 games on the schedule75% expected availabilityLV9.7 gamesTE1-12 tier188Ceiling112Proj37Floor
6610.0 gamesRB13-24 tierCam SkatteboRBNYG · 14 games on the schedule77% expected availabilityNYG10.0 gamesRB13-24 tier175Ceiling111Proj45Floor
6710.4 gamesWR13-24 tierDeebo Samuel Sr.WRSF · 14 games on the schedule80% expected availabilitySF10.4 gamesWR13-24 tier182Ceiling111Proj43Floor
6811.4 gamesK1-12 tierBrandon AubreyKDAL · 14 games on the schedule88% expected availabilityDAL11.4 gamesK1-12 tier135Ceiling110Proj84Floor
696.9 gamesQB25-48 tierCam WardQBTEN · 14 games on the schedule53% expected availabilityTEN6.9 gamesQB25-48 tier197Ceiling110Proj33Floor
7010.5 gamesWR13-24 tierStefon DiggsWRWSH · 14 games on the schedule81% expected availabilityWSH10.5 gamesWR13-24 tier183Ceiling109Proj41Floor
7110.3 gamesWR13-24 tierRome OdunzeWRCHI · 14 games on the schedule79% expected availabilityCHI10.3 gamesWR13-24 tier176Ceiling109Proj42Floor
7212.3 gamesK1-12 tierNick FolkKATL · 15 games on the schedule88% expected availabilityATL12.3 gamesK1-12 tier134Ceiling109Proj83Floor
739.8 gamesTE1-12 tierSam LaPortaTEDET · 14 games on the schedule75% expected availabilityDET9.8 gamesTE1-12 tier187Ceiling109Proj34Floor
7411.4 gamesK1-12 tierAndy BorregalesKNE · 14 games on the schedule88% expected availabilityNE11.4 gamesK1-12 tier131Ceiling107Proj81Floor
759.7 gamesTE1-12 tierTucker KraftTEGB · 14 games on the schedule75% expected availabilityGB9.7 gamesTE1-12 tier178Ceiling107Proj37Floor
766.7 gamesQB25-48 tierJustin HerbertQBLAC · 14 games on the schedule52% expected availabilityLAC6.7 gamesQB25-48 tier195Ceiling107Proj31Floor
7710.4 gamesWR13-24 tierDavante AdamsWRLAR · 14 games on the schedule80% expected availabilityLAR10.4 gamesWR13-24 tier170Ceiling106Proj43Floor
7811.4 gamesK13-24 tierCam LittleKJAX · 14 games on the schedule88% expected availabilityJAX11.4 gamesK13-24 tier129Ceiling105Proj81Floor
7910.7 gamesRB13-24 tierAlvin KamaraRBNO · 15 games on the schedule76% expected availabilityNO10.7 gamesRB13-24 tier160Ceiling105Proj44Floor
809.9 gamesRB13-24 tierAaron JonesRBMIN · 14 games on the schedule76% expected availabilityMIN9.9 gamesRB13-24 tier160Ceiling105Proj43Floor
8110.4 gamesWR13-24 tierTee HigginsWRCIN · 14 games on the schedule80% expected availabilityCIN10.4 gamesWR13-24 tier176Ceiling105Proj36Floor
826.7 gamesQB25-48 tierAaron RodgersQBPIT · 14 games on the schedule52% expected availabilityPIT6.7 gamesQB25-48 tier191Ceiling104Proj29Floor
839.9 gamesWR25-48 tierParker WashingtonWRJAX · 14 games on the schedule76% expected availabilityJAX9.9 gamesWR25-48 tier172Ceiling104Proj37Floor
846.3 gamesQB25-48 tierJacoby BrissettQBARI · 14 games on the schedule48% expected availabilityARI6.3 gamesQB25-48 tier200Ceiling104Proj24Floor
8511.5 gamesK1-12 tierCairo SantosKCHI · 14 games on the schedule88% expected availabilityCHI11.5 gamesK1-12 tier128Ceiling103Proj79Floor
8610.0 gamesRB13-24 tierKenny GainwellRBTB · 14 games on the schedule77% expected availabilityTB10.0 gamesRB13-24 tier166Ceiling103Proj40Floor
876.6 gamesQB25-48 tierGeno SmithQBNYJ · 14 games on the schedule51% expected availabilityNYJ6.6 gamesQB25-48 tier192Ceiling103Proj26Floor
8811.4 gamesK1-12 tierBrandon McManusKGB · 14 games on the schedule88% expected availabilityGB11.4 gamesK1-12 tier127Ceiling102Proj78Floor
8911.4 gamesK1-12 tierChase McLaughlinKTB · 14 games on the schedule88% expected availabilityTB11.4 gamesK1-12 tier127Ceiling102Proj77Floor
9011.4 gamesK1-12 tierJake BatesKDET · 14 games on the schedule88% expected availabilityDET11.4 gamesK1-12 tier126Ceiling102Proj78Floor
9111.4 gamesK1-12 tierSpencer ShraderKIND · 14 games on the schedule88% expected availabilityIND11.4 gamesK1-12 tier126Ceiling102Proj77Floor
929.7 gamesTE1-12 tierTyler WarrenTEIND · 14 games on the schedule75% expected availabilityIND9.7 gamesTE1-12 tier168Ceiling102Proj35Floor
9311.4 gamesK1-12 tierEddy PineiroKSF · 14 games on the schedule88% expected availabilitySF11.4 gamesK1-12 tier125Ceiling102Proj77Floor
9413.0 gamesDST1-12 tierMinnesota Vikings DefenseDSTMIN · 14 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityMIN13.0 gamesDST1-12 tier118Ceiling101Proj85Floor
9511.4 gamesK1-12 tierJake ElliottKPHI · 14 games on the schedule88% expected availabilityPHI11.4 gamesK1-12 tier125Ceiling100Proj75Floor
9614.0 gamesDST1-12 tierNew Orleans Saints DefenseDSTNO · 15 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityNO14.0 gamesDST1-12 tier116Ceiling100Proj83Floor
9713.0 gamesDST1-12 tierHouston Texans DefenseDSTHOU · 14 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityHOU13.0 gamesDST1-12 tier115Ceiling99Proj83Floor
9811.4 gamesK1-12 tierRiley PattersonKMIA · 14 games on the schedule88% expected availabilityMIA11.4 gamesK1-12 tier122Ceiling99Proj76Floor
9911.4 gamesK13-24 tierJason MyersKSEA · 14 games on the schedule88% expected availabilitySEA11.4 gamesK13-24 tier122Ceiling99Proj75Floor
10011.4 gamesK1-12 tierEvan McPhersonKCIN · 14 games on the schedule88% expected availabilityCIN11.4 gamesK1-12 tier122Ceiling99Proj74Floor
10113.0 gamesDST1-12 tierSeattle Seahawks DefenseDSTSEA · 14 games on the schedule100% expected availabilitySEA13.0 gamesDST1-12 tier115Ceiling98Proj82Floor
10211.5 gamesK13-24 tierJake MoodyKBAL · 14 games on the schedule88% expected availabilityBAL11.5 gamesK13-24 tier120Ceiling97Proj74Floor
10310.0 gamesWR25-48 tierJakobi MeyersWRJAX · 14 games on the schedule77% expected availabilityJAX10.0 gamesWR25-48 tier161Ceiling97Proj34Floor
10413.0 gamesDST1-12 tierDenver Broncos DefenseDSTDEN · 14 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityDEN13.0 gamesDST1-12 tier113Ceiling97Proj81Floor
10512.3 gamesK13-24 tierDaniel CarlsonKNO · 15 games on the schedule88% expected availabilityNO12.3 gamesK13-24 tier120Ceiling97Proj73Floor
10610.0 gamesRB13-24 tierJ.K. DobbinsRBDEN · 14 games on the schedule77% expected availabilityDEN10.0 gamesRB13-24 tier144Ceiling96Proj42Floor
10711.4 gamesK13-24 tierWil LutzKDEN · 14 games on the schedule88% expected availabilityDEN11.4 gamesK13-24 tier119Ceiling96Proj72Floor
10811.4 gamesK13-24 tierKa'imi FairbairnKHOU · 14 games on the schedule88% expected availabilityHOU11.4 gamesK13-24 tier119Ceiling96Proj73Floor
10910.0 gamesRB13-24 tierTreVeyon HendersonRBNE · 14 games on the schedule77% expected availabilityNE10.0 gamesRB13-24 tier146Ceiling96Proj41Floor
11013.0 gamesDST1-12 tierCleveland Browns DefenseDSTCLE · 14 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityCLE13.0 gamesDST1-12 tier111Ceiling95Proj79Floor
11111.4 gamesK13-24 tierCameron DickerKLAC · 14 games on the schedule88% expected availabilityLAC11.4 gamesK13-24 tier119Ceiling95Proj71Floor
1129.8 gamesWR25-48 tierKhalil ShakirWRBUF · 14 games on the schedule76% expected availabilityBUF9.8 gamesWR25-48 tier158Ceiling95Proj34Floor
11311.4 gamesK13-24 tierWill ReichardKMIN · 14 games on the schedule88% expected availabilityMIN11.4 gamesK13-24 tier118Ceiling95Proj72Floor
1149.9 gamesWR25-48 tierDK MetcalfWRPIT · 14 games on the schedule76% expected availabilityPIT9.9 gamesWR25-48 tier161Ceiling94Proj31Floor
11514.0 gamesDST1-12 tierAtlanta Falcons DefenseDSTATL · 15 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityATL14.0 gamesDST1-12 tier111Ceiling94Proj77Floor
1169.9 gamesWR25-48 tierTroy FranklinWRDEN · 14 games on the schedule76% expected availabilityDEN9.9 gamesWR25-48 tier158Ceiling94Proj33Floor
1179.8 gamesWR25-48 tierJaylen WaddleWRDEN · 14 games on the schedule75% expected availabilityDEN9.8 gamesWR25-48 tier160Ceiling93Proj30Floor
1189.9 gamesWR25-48 tierRomeo DoubsWRNE · 14 games on the schedule76% expected availabilityNE9.9 gamesWR25-48 tier156Ceiling93Proj32Floor
1199.7 gamesTE1-12 tierHarold Fannin Jr.TECLE · 14 games on the schedule75% expected availabilityCLE9.7 gamesTE1-12 tier155Ceiling93Proj30Floor
12011.4 gamesK13-24 tierHarrison ButkerKKC · 13 games on the schedule88% expected availabilityKC11.4 gamesK13-24 tier115Ceiling92Proj69Floor
12111.4 gamesK25-48 tierChad RylandKARI · 14 games on the schedule88% expected availabilityARI11.4 gamesK25-48 tier114Ceiling92Proj69Floor
1229.7 gamesTE1-12 tierColston LovelandTECHI · 14 games on the schedule75% expected availabilityCHI9.7 gamesTE1-12 tier155Ceiling92Proj31Floor
1239.9 gamesWR25-48 tierMichael PittmanWRPIT · 14 games on the schedule76% expected availabilityPIT9.9 gamesWR25-48 tier153Ceiling91Proj30Floor
12411.4 gamesK13-24 tierChris BoswellKPIT · 14 games on the schedule88% expected availabilityPIT11.4 gamesK13-24 tier113Ceiling91Proj68Floor
1259.9 gamesWR25-48 tierLadd McConkeyWRLAC · 14 games on the schedule76% expected availabilityLAC9.9 gamesWR25-48 tier154Ceiling91Proj30Floor
12613.0 gamesDST1-12 tierLos Angeles Chargers DefenseDSTLAC · 14 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityLAC13.0 gamesDST1-12 tier106Ceiling90Proj74Floor
12713.0 gamesDST1-12 tierPhiladelphia Eagles DefenseDSTPHI · 14 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityPHI13.0 gamesDST1-12 tier105Ceiling89Proj73Floor
12813.0 gamesDST1-12 tierNew England Patriots DefenseDSTNE · 14 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityNE13.0 gamesDST1-12 tier105Ceiling89Proj73Floor
12911.4 gamesK13-24 tierBlake GrupeKNYJ · 14 games on the schedule88% expected availabilityNYJ11.4 gamesK13-24 tier111Ceiling89Proj67Floor
1309.8 gamesWR25-48 tierTre TuckerWRLV · 14 games on the schedule76% expected availabilityLV9.8 gamesWR25-48 tier151Ceiling88Proj27Floor
13111.4 gamesK13-24 tierRyan FitzgeraldKCAR · 13 games on the schedule88% expected availabilityCAR11.4 gamesK13-24 tier110Ceiling88Proj66Floor
1329.9 gamesWR25-48 tierXavier WorthyWRKC · 13 games on the schedule76% expected availabilityKC9.9 gamesWR25-48 tier145Ceiling86Proj29Floor
1339.7 gamesTE1-12 tierTravis KelceTEKC · 13 games on the schedule74% expected availabilityKC9.7 gamesTE1-12 tier148Ceiling85Proj26Floor
13411.4 gamesK25-48 tierYounghoe KooKNYG · 14 games on the schedule88% expected availabilityNYG11.4 gamesK25-48 tier107Ceiling85Proj63Floor
13511.4 gamesK25-48 tierJoey SlyeKTEN · 14 games on the schedule88% expected availabilityTEN11.4 gamesK25-48 tier107Ceiling85Proj64Floor
1369.8 gamesWR25-48 tierMichael WilsonWRARI · 14 games on the schedule76% expected availabilityARI9.8 gamesWR25-48 tier147Ceiling84Proj25Floor
1379.9 gamesWR25-48 tierMalachi FieldsWRNYG · 14 games on the schedule76% expected availabilityNYG9.9 gamesWR25-48 tier145Ceiling83Proj24Floor
1389.8 gamesWR25-48 tierMatthew GoldenWRGB · 14 games on the schedule76% expected availabilityGB9.8 gamesWR25-48 tier142Ceiling83Proj27Floor
1399.8 gamesWR25-48 tierQuentin JohnstonWRLAC · 14 games on the schedule76% expected availabilityLAC9.8 gamesWR25-48 tier141Ceiling83Proj26Floor
14013.0 gamesDST1-12 tierLos Angeles Rams DefenseDSTLAR · 14 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityLAR13.0 gamesDST1-12 tier98Ceiling82Proj66Floor
1419.8 gamesWR25-48 tierJosh DownsWRIND · 14 games on the schedule75% expected availabilityIND9.8 gamesWR25-48 tier136Ceiling82Proj27Floor
14213.0 gamesDST1-12 tierJacksonville Jaguars DefenseDSTJAX · 14 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityJAX13.0 gamesDST1-12 tier97Ceiling81Proj66Floor
14311.5 gamesK25-48 tierMatt GayKLV · 14 games on the schedule88% expected availabilityLV11.5 gamesK25-48 tier102Ceiling81Proj61Floor
1449.9 gamesWR25-48 tierJordan AddisonWRMIN · 14 games on the schedule76% expected availabilityMIN9.9 gamesWR25-48 tier133Ceiling79Proj27Floor
1459.8 gamesWR25-48 tierBrian Thomas Jr.WRJAX · 14 games on the schedule76% expected availabilityJAX9.8 gamesWR25-48 tier132Ceiling79Proj26Floor
1469.7 gamesTE1-12 tierZach ErtzTEPHI · 14 games on the schedule74% expected availabilityPHI9.7 gamesTE1-12 tier134Ceiling79Proj25Floor
14713.0 gamesDST13-24 tierDetroit Lions DefenseDSTDET · 14 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityDET13.0 gamesDST13-24 tier94Ceiling78Proj63Floor
1489.9 gamesWR25-48 tierJauan JenningsWRMIN · 14 games on the schedule76% expected availabilityMIN9.9 gamesWR25-48 tier130Ceiling78Proj27Floor
14913.0 gamesDST13-24 tierKansas City Chiefs DefenseDSTKC · 13 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityKC13.0 gamesDST13-24 tier94Ceiling78Proj62Floor
15013.0 gamesDST13-24 tierBaltimore Ravens DefenseDSTBAL · 14 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityBAL13.0 gamesDST13-24 tier93Ceiling78Proj63Floor
1519.8 gamesWR25-48 tierMike EvansWRSF · 14 games on the schedule75% expected availabilitySF9.8 gamesWR25-48 tier132Ceiling77Proj25Floor
1528.3 gamesRB25-48 tierRhamondre StevensonRBNE · 14 games on the schedule63% expected availabilityNE8.3 gamesRB25-48 tier135Ceiling77Proj11Floor
15313.0 gamesDST13-24 tierPittsburgh Steelers DefenseDSTPIT · 14 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityPIT13.0 gamesDST13-24 tier93Ceiling77Proj61Floor
1549.8 gamesWR25-48 tierLuther Burden IIIWRCHI · 14 games on the schedule75% expected availabilityCHI9.8 gamesWR25-48 tier131Ceiling76Proj22Floor
15510.2 gamesTE13-24 tierJuwan JohnsonTENO · 15 games on the schedule73% expected availabilityNO10.2 gamesTE13-24 tier135Ceiling76Proj19Floor
1568.3 gamesRB25-48 tierWoody MarksRBHOU · 14 games on the schedule64% expected availabilityHOU8.3 gamesRB25-48 tier127Ceiling75Proj13Floor
1579.8 gamesWR25-48 tierKeon ColemanWRBUF · 14 games on the schedule76% expected availabilityBUF9.8 gamesWR25-48 tier127Ceiling75Proj24Floor
15813.0 gamesDST13-24 tierIndianapolis Colts DefenseDSTIND · 14 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityIND13.0 gamesDST13-24 tier90Ceiling74Proj58Floor
15913.0 gamesDST13-24 tierLas Vegas Raiders DefenseDSTLV · 14 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityLV13.0 gamesDST13-24 tier90Ceiling74Proj59Floor
1609.4 gamesTE13-24 tierJake FergusonTEDAL · 14 games on the schedule72% expected availabilityDAL9.4 gamesTE13-24 tier128Ceiling74Proj20Floor
16113.0 gamesDST13-24 tierBuffalo Bills DefenseDSTBUF · 14 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityBUF13.0 gamesDST13-24 tier89Ceiling74Proj58Floor
16213.0 gamesDST25-48 tierCincinnati Bengals DefenseDSTCIN · 14 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityCIN13.0 gamesDST25-48 tier89Ceiling73Proj58Floor
1639.8 gamesWR25-48 tierCourtland SuttonWRDEN · 14 games on the schedule75% expected availabilityDEN9.8 gamesWR25-48 tier127Ceiling73Proj22Floor
16413.0 gamesDST13-24 tierTampa Bay Buccaneers DefenseDSTTB · 14 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityTB13.0 gamesDST13-24 tier88Ceiling73Proj57Floor
1655.6 gamesQB25-48 tierKirk CousinsQBLV · 14 games on the schedule43% expected availabilityLV5.6 gamesQB25-48 tier150Ceiling72Proj9Floor
1669.5 gamesTE13-24 tierCade OttonTETB · 14 games on the schedule73% expected availabilityTB9.5 gamesTE13-24 tier125Ceiling72Proj19Floor
16713.0 gamesDST13-24 tierCarolina Panthers DefenseDSTCAR · 13 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityCAR13.0 gamesDST13-24 tier87Ceiling71Proj56Floor
1689.8 gamesWR25-48 tierMakai LemonWRPHI · 14 games on the schedule76% expected availabilityPHI9.8 gamesWR25-48 tier121Ceiling71Proj22Floor
1698.2 gamesRB25-48 tierTyrone Tracy Jr.RBNYG · 14 games on the schedule63% expected availabilityNYG8.2 gamesRB25-48 tier122Ceiling70Proj11Floor
1709.4 gamesTE13-24 tierHunter HenryTENE · 14 games on the schedule72% expected availabilityNE9.4 gamesTE13-24 tier122Ceiling70Proj19Floor
1718.2 gamesRB25-48 tierRJ HarveyRBDEN · 14 games on the schedule63% expected availabilityDEN8.2 gamesRB25-48 tier122Ceiling70Proj11Floor
1728.2 gamesRB25-48 tierChuba HubbardRBCAR · 13 games on the schedule63% expected availabilityCAR8.2 gamesRB25-48 tier121Ceiling69Proj10Floor
1739.3 gamesTE13-24 tierDalton SchultzTEHOU · 14 games on the schedule72% expected availabilityHOU9.3 gamesTE13-24 tier122Ceiling69Proj17Floor
17413.0 gamesDST13-24 tierNew York Giants DefenseDSTNYG · 14 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityNYG13.0 gamesDST13-24 tier84Ceiling69Proj54Floor
17513.0 gamesDST13-24 tierTennessee Titans DefenseDSTTEN · 14 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityTEN13.0 gamesDST13-24 tier85Ceiling69Proj54Floor
1769.3 gamesTE13-24 tierTheo JohnsonTENYG · 14 games on the schedule72% expected availabilityNYG9.3 gamesTE13-24 tier120Ceiling68Proj17Floor
1779.3 gamesTE13-24 tierGreg DulcichTEMIA · 14 games on the schedule72% expected availabilityMIA9.3 gamesTE13-24 tier117Ceiling68Proj19Floor
17813.0 gamesDST13-24 tierChicago Bears DefenseDSTCHI · 14 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityCHI13.0 gamesDST13-24 tier82Ceiling67Proj51Floor
17913.0 gamesDST25-48 tierGreen Bay Packers DefenseDSTGB · 14 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityGB13.0 gamesDST25-48 tier82Ceiling66Proj50Floor
1809.5 gamesTE13-24 tierDalton KincaidTEBUF · 14 games on the schedule73% expected availabilityBUF9.5 gamesTE13-24 tier118Ceiling66Proj15Floor
1814.9 gamesQB25-48 tierDeshaun WatsonQBCLE · 14 games on the schedule38% expected availabilityCLE4.9 gamesQB25-48 tier146Ceiling66Proj0Floor
1828.3 gamesRB25-48 tierJacory Croskey-MerrittRBWSH · 14 games on the schedule63% expected availabilityWSH8.3 gamesRB25-48 tier113Ceiling65Proj10Floor
18313.0 gamesDST25-48 tierSan Francisco 49ers DefenseDSTSF · 14 games on the schedule100% expected availabilitySF13.0 gamesDST25-48 tier81Ceiling65Proj50Floor
1849.5 gamesTE13-24 tierMark AndrewsTEBAL · 14 games on the schedule73% expected availabilityBAL9.5 gamesTE13-24 tier111Ceiling65Proj19Floor
1859.3 gamesTE13-24 tierDarren WallerTECAR · 13 games on the schedule72% expected availabilityCAR9.3 gamesTE13-24 tier115Ceiling64Proj15Floor
1868.3 gamesRB25-48 tierAustin EkelerRBWSH · 14 games on the schedule64% expected availabilityWSH8.3 gamesRB25-48 tier113Ceiling64Proj9Floor
18713.0 gamesDST25-48 tierMiami Dolphins DefenseDSTMIA · 14 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityMIA13.0 gamesDST25-48 tier80Ceiling64Proj49Floor
18813.0 gamesDST25-48 tierArizona Cardinals DefenseDSTARI · 14 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityARI13.0 gamesDST25-48 tier80Ceiling64Proj49Floor
18913.0 gamesDST25-48 tierWashington Commanders DefenseDSTWSH · 14 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityWSH13.0 gamesDST25-48 tier79Ceiling64Proj48Floor
1908.3 gamesRB25-48 tierTony PollardRBTEN · 14 games on the schedule64% expected availabilityTEN8.3 gamesRB25-48 tier108Ceiling63Proj10Floor
1919.4 gamesTE13-24 tierChig OkonkwoTEWSH · 14 games on the schedule72% expected availabilityWSH9.4 gamesTE13-24 tier110Ceiling63Proj16Floor
1929.4 gamesTE13-24 tierT.J. HockensonTEMIN · 14 games on the schedule72% expected availabilityMIN9.4 gamesTE13-24 tier112Ceiling63Proj16Floor
1934.1 gamesQB25-48 tierJameis WinstonQBNYG · 14 games on the schedule32% expected availabilityNYG4.1 gamesQB25-48 tier151Ceiling63Proj0Floor
1948.3 gamesRB25-48 tierKyle MonangaiRBCHI · 14 games on the schedule64% expected availabilityCHI8.3 gamesRB25-48 tier108Ceiling62Proj10Floor
1956.6 gamesTE1-12 tierGeorge KittleTESF · 14 games on the schedule74% expected availabilitySF6.6 gamesTE1-12 tier109Ceiling61Proj16Floor
1968.4 gamesRB25-48 tierJaylen WrightRBMIA · 14 games on the schedule64% expected availabilityMIA8.4 gamesRB25-48 tier102Ceiling60Proj11Floor
1978.2 gamesRB25-48 tierBlake CorumRBLAR · 14 games on the schedule63% expected availabilityLAR8.2 gamesRB25-48 tier99Ceiling57Proj8Floor
1988.4 gamesRB25-48 tierBam KnightRBARI · 14 games on the schedule64% expected availabilityARI8.4 gamesRB25-48 tier99Ceiling57Proj8Floor
1998.2 gamesRB25-48 tierKimani VidalRBLAC · 14 games on the schedule64% expected availabilityLAC8.2 gamesRB25-48 tier95Ceiling55Proj9Floor
2008.3 gamesRB25-48 tierDavid MontgomeryRBHOU · 14 games on the schedule63% expected availabilityHOU8.3 gamesRB25-48 tier95Ceiling54Proj8Floor
20113.0 gamesDST25-48 tierDallas Cowboys DefenseDSTDAL · 14 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityDAL13.0 gamesDST25-48 tier69Ceiling54Proj38Floor
2028.5 gamesRB25-48 tierTyjae SpearsRBTEN · 14 games on the schedule65% expected availabilityTEN8.5 gamesRB25-48 tier93Ceiling51Proj7Floor
20313.0 gamesDST25-48 tierNew York Jets DefenseDSTNYJ · 14 games on the schedule100% expected availabilityNYJ13.0 gamesDST25-48 tier66Ceiling51Proj37Floor
2047.4 gamesTE25-48 tierOronde Gadsden IITELAC · 14 games on the schedule57% expected availabilityLAC7.4 gamesTE25-48 tier96Ceiling48Proj4Floor
2057.4 gamesTE25-48 tierAJ BarnerTESEA · 14 games on the schedule57% expected availabilitySEA7.4 gamesTE25-48 tier92Ceiling48Proj4Floor
2068.3 gamesRB25-48 tierMichael CarterRBTEN · 14 games on the schedule64% expected availabilityTEN8.3 gamesRB25-48 tier84Ceiling47Proj7Floor
2077.6 gamesTE25-48 tierMichael MayerTELV · 14 games on the schedule59% expected availabilityLV7.6 gamesTE25-48 tier87Ceiling45Proj4Floor
2087.5 gamesTE25-48 tierBrenton StrangeTEJAX · 14 games on the schedule57% expected availabilityJAX7.5 gamesTE25-48 tier87Ceiling45Proj4Floor
2097.3 gamesTE25-48 tierDarnell WashingtonTEPIT · 14 games on the schedule56% expected availabilityPIT7.3 gamesTE25-48 tier86Ceiling44Proj3Floor
2108.4 gamesRB25-48 tierJordan JamesRBSF · 14 games on the schedule64% expected availabilitySF8.4 gamesRB25-48 tier77Ceiling44Proj7Floor
2118.4 gamesRB25-48 tierChris Rodriguez Jr.RBJAX · 14 games on the schedule65% expected availabilityJAX8.4 gamesRB25-48 tier75Ceiling43Proj6Floor
2125.7 gamesWR49+ tierDenzel BostonWRCLE · 14 games on the schedule44% expected availabilityCLE5.7 gamesWR49+ tier89Ceiling42Proj0Floor
2135.7 gamesWR49+ tierMarvin Harrison Jr.WRARI · 14 games on the schedule44% expected availabilityARI5.7 gamesWR49+ tier89Ceiling42Proj0Floor
2145.7 gamesWR49+ tierRashid ShaheedWRSEA · 14 games on the schedule44% expected availabilitySEA5.7 gamesWR49+ tier85Ceiling41Proj0Floor
2155.7 gamesWR49+ tierCooper KuppWRSEA · 14 games on the schedule44% expected availabilitySEA5.7 gamesWR49+ tier86Ceiling40Proj0Floor
2168.3 gamesRB25-48 tierEmanuel WilsonRBSEA · 14 games on the schedule64% expected availabilitySEA8.3 gamesRB25-48 tier69Ceiling39Proj5Floor
2178.3 gamesRB25-48 tierMarShawn LloydRBGB · 14 games on the schedule64% expected availabilityGB8.3 gamesRB25-48 tier70Ceiling39Proj5Floor
2187.5 gamesTE25-48 tierPat FreiermuthTEPIT · 14 games on the schedule57% expected availabilityPIT7.5 gamesTE25-48 tier78Ceiling39Proj2Floor
2195.7 gamesWR49+ tierChris Godwin Jr.WRTB · 14 games on the schedule44% expected availabilityTB5.7 gamesWR49+ tier78Ceiling38Proj0Floor
2205.7 gamesWR49+ tierKayshon BoutteWRHOU · 14 games on the schedule44% expected availabilityHOU5.7 gamesWR49+ tier83Ceiling38Proj0Floor
2218.3 gamesRB25-48 tierSamaje PerineRBCIN · 14 games on the schedule64% expected availabilityCIN8.3 gamesRB25-48 tier66Ceiling37Proj5Floor
2225.5 gamesWR49+ tierDJ MooreWRBUF · 14 games on the schedule43% expected availabilityBUF5.5 gamesWR49+ tier80Ceiling37Proj0Floor
2238.3 gamesRB25-48 tierMike Washington Jr.RBLV · 14 games on the schedule64% expected availabilityLV8.3 gamesRB25-48 tier66Ceiling37Proj5Floor
2245.8 gamesWR49+ tierDarius SlaytonWRIND · 14 games on the schedule44% expected availabilityIND5.8 gamesWR49+ tier77Ceiling37Proj0Floor
2258.1 gamesRB25-48 tierEmari DemercadoRBDAL · 14 games on the schedule63% expected availabilityDAL8.1 gamesRB25-48 tier67Ceiling37Proj4Floor
2267.4 gamesTE25-48 tierTyler HigbeeTELAR · 14 games on the schedule57% expected availabilityLAR7.4 gamesTE25-48 tier71Ceiling37Proj2Floor
2278.3 gamesRB25-48 tierJustice HillRBBAL · 14 games on the schedule64% expected availabilityBAL8.3 gamesRB25-48 tier67Ceiling36Proj4Floor
2285.7 gamesWR49+ tierJerry JeudyWRCLE · 14 games on the schedule43% expected availabilityCLE5.7 gamesWR49+ tier78Ceiling36Proj0Floor
2295.7 gamesWR49+ tierMalik WashingtonWRMIA · 14 games on the schedule44% expected availabilityMIA5.7 gamesWR49+ tier78Ceiling36Proj0Floor
2305.7 gamesWR49+ tierMack HollinsWRNE · 14 games on the schedule44% expected availabilityNE5.7 gamesWR49+ tier71Ceiling34Proj0Floor
2316.2 gamesWR49+ tierKevin Austin Jr.WRNO · 15 games on the schedule44% expected availabilityNO6.2 gamesWR49+ tier71Ceiling33Proj0Floor
2327.5 gamesTE25-48 tierMike GesickiTECIN · 14 games on the schedule58% expected availabilityCIN7.5 gamesTE25-48 tier65Ceiling33Proj1Floor
2337.4 gamesTE25-48 tierJonnu SmithTEGB · 14 games on the schedule57% expected availabilityGB7.4 gamesTE25-48 tier62Ceiling33Proj2Floor
2345.9 gamesWR49+ tierDontayvion WicksWRPHI · 14 games on the schedule45% expected availabilityPHI5.9 gamesWR49+ tier67Ceiling32Proj0Floor
2355.7 gamesWR49+ tierJohn Metchie IIIWRCAR · 13 games on the schedule44% expected availabilityCAR5.7 gamesWR49+ tier66Ceiling32Proj0Floor
2367.4 gamesTE25-48 tierEvan EngramTEDEN · 14 games on the schedule57% expected availabilityDEN7.4 gamesTE25-48 tier61Ceiling31Proj1Floor
2377.4 gamesTE25-48 tierJa'Tavion SandersTECAR · 13 games on the schedule57% expected availabilityCAR7.4 gamesTE25-48 tier61Ceiling31Proj1Floor
2385.8 gamesWR49+ tierTreylon BurksWRWSH · 14 games on the schedule44% expected availabilityWSH5.8 gamesWR49+ tier65Ceiling30Proj0Floor
2396.1 gamesWR49+ tierOlamide ZaccheausWRATL · 15 games on the schedule44% expected availabilityATL6.1 gamesWR49+ tier63Ceiling29Proj0Floor
2405.8 gamesWR49+ tierElic AyomanorWRTEN · 14 games on the schedule44% expected availabilityTEN5.8 gamesWR49+ tier62Ceiling28Proj0Floor
2417.5 gamesTE25-48 tierBrock WrightTEDET · 14 games on the schedule57% expected availabilityDET7.5 gamesTE25-48 tier57Ceiling28Proj0Floor
2425.8 gamesWR49+ tierRyan FlournoyWRDAL · 14 games on the schedule44% expected availabilityDAL5.8 gamesWR49+ tier58Ceiling28Proj0Floor
2436.2 gamesWR49+ tierDevaughn VeleWRNO · 15 games on the schedule44% expected availabilityNO6.2 gamesWR49+ tier57Ceiling27Proj0Floor
2445.6 gamesWR49+ tierSterling ShepardWRNYJ · 14 games on the schedule43% expected availabilityNYJ5.6 gamesWR49+ tier58Ceiling27Proj0Floor
2455.9 gamesWR49+ tierMarvin Mims Jr.WRDEN · 14 games on the schedule45% expected availabilityDEN5.9 gamesWR49+ tier56Ceiling26Proj0Floor
2465.8 gamesWR49+ tierAntonio WilliamsWRWSH · 14 games on the schedule45% expected availabilityWSH5.8 gamesWR49+ tier55Ceiling25Proj0Floor
2475.7 gamesWR49+ tierDarnell MooneyWRNYG · 14 games on the schedule44% expected availabilityNYG5.7 gamesWR49+ tier54Ceiling25Proj0Floor
2487.4 gamesTE25-48 tierTommy TrembleTECAR · 13 games on the schedule57% expected availabilityCAR7.4 gamesTE25-48 tier49Ceiling25Proj0Floor
2497.5 gamesTE25-48 tierCole KmetTECHI · 14 games on the schedule58% expected availabilityCHI7.5 gamesTE25-48 tier49Ceiling25Proj0Floor
2505.7 gamesWR49+ tierRashod BatemanWRBAL · 14 games on the schedule44% expected availabilityBAL5.7 gamesWR49+ tier52Ceiling25Proj0Floor

How to read it. The projection is the average across thousands of simulated seasons; the ceiling and floor are the 85th and 15th percentiles of those same runs. Games is how many of the remaining we expect the player to actually be available for — a season projection that assumes everyone plays every week is wrong before it starts. Availability is set by position and by where a player ranks going into the year, because a starter and a fourth-stringer are not equally likely to be on the field. The model refits as results settle, so these move through the season.