Bundesliga Match Board — Saturday, May 17, 2025

Every Bundesliga match on Saturday, May 17, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Saturday, May 17

MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge

FT · 1–2

FC Augsburgvs FCU

1. FC Union Berlin

WWK Arena · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

ESPN+

FT · 2–2

Mainzvs

Bayer Leverkusen

MEWA ARENA · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

ESPN+

FT · 2–3

RB Leipzigvs VFB

VfB Stuttgart

Red Bull Arena · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

ESPN+

FT · 1–3

SC Freiburgvs SGE

Eintracht Frankfurt

Europa-Park Stadion · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

ESPN+

FT · 0–4

TSG Hoffenheimvs MUN

Bayern Munich

PreZero Arena · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

ESPN+

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).