Bundesliga Match Board — Saturday, September 13, 2025

Every Bundesliga match on Saturday, September 13, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Saturday, September 13

MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge

FT · 2–4

1. FC Union Berlinvs TSG

TSG Hoffenheim

Stadion An der Alten Försterei · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

ESPN+

FT · 0–1

Mainzvs

RB Leipzig

MEWA ARENA · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

ESPN+

FT · 3–1

SC Freiburgvs VFB

VfB Stuttgart

Europa-Park Stadion · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

ESPN+

FT · 5–0

Bayern Munichvs HSV

Hamburg SV

Allianz Arena · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

ESPN+

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).