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Bundesliga Match Board — Saturday, April 11, 2026

Every Bundesliga match on Saturday, April 11, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

2026-27 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 16 of 19 on ML, 8 of 19 on Over 2.5, 16 of 19 on BTTS.

Saturday, April 11

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
FT · 3–1
Match page →
HDH1. FC Heidenheim 1846vsFCU1. FC Union Berlin

Voith-Arena · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

ESPN+
FT · 0–1
Match page →
DORBorussia DortmundvsB04Bayer Leverkusen

Signal Iduna Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

ESPN2 · ESPN+
FT · 1–0
Match page →
RBLRB LeipzigvsBMGBorussia Mönchengladbach

Red Bull Arena · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

ESPN+
FT · 1–2
Match page →
WOBVfL WolfsburgvsSGEEintracht Frankfurt

Volkswagen Arena · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

ESPN+
FT · 0–5
Match page →
STPSt. PaulivsMUNBayern Munich

Millerntor-Stadion · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

ESPN+

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).