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Bundesliga 1+ Shots Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Bundesliga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1Bayern Munich
    Harry Kane
    Bayern Munich2–1SV Elversberg
    Sun 11:30 AM
    100%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -9900
    ✓ 6
  2. 2Bayern Munich
    Luis Díaz
    Bayern Munich2–1SV Elversberg
    Sun 11:30 AM
    100%
    Books -10000
    +0.5%MatchWiz -9900
    ✓ 1
  3. 3Bayern Munich
    Serge Gnabry
    Bayern Munich2–1SV Elversberg
    Sun 11:30 AM
    98%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -4530
    DNP
  4. 4
    Nicolas Jackson
    —v—
    Sun 11:30 AM
    98%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -3923
    DNP
  5. 5Bayern Munich
    Tom Bischof
    Bayern Munich2–1SV Elversberg
    Sun 11:30 AM
    95%
    Books -1500
    +1.1%MatchWiz -1828
    ✓ 1
  6. 6
    Leon Goretzka
    —v—
    Sun 11:30 AM
    94%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -1508
    DNP
  7. 7Bayern Munich
    Michael Olise
    Bayern Munich2–1SV Elversberg
    Sun 11:30 AM
    92%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -1216
    ✓ 4
  8. 8RB Leipzig
    Christoph Baumgartner
    RB Leipzig5–0Hamburg SV
    Sun 9:30 AM
    92%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -1165
    DNP
  9. 9RB Leipzig
    Rômulo
    RB Leipzig5–0Hamburg SV
    Sun 9:30 AM
    91%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -987
    ✓ 1
  10. 10SV Elversberg
    David Mokwa
    SV Elversberg1–2Bayern Munich
    Sun 11:30 AM
    89%
    Books -450
    +7.1%MatchWiz -804
    ✓ 1
  11. 11RB Leipzig
    Brajan Gruda
    RB Leipzig5–0Hamburg SV
    Sun 9:30 AM
    89%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -775
    ✓ 2
  12. 12Bayern Munich
    Lennart Karl
    Bayern Munich2–1SV Elversberg
    Sun 11:30 AM
    88%
    Books -10000
    -11.4%MatchWiz -706
    ✓ 3
  13. 13
    Eric Dier
    —v—
    Sun 11:30 AM
    86%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -636
    DNP
  14. 14Bayern Munich
    Jamal Musiala
    Bayern Munich2–1SV Elversberg
    Sun 11:30 AM
    86%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -623
    ✓ 2
  15. 15
    Yan Diomande
    —v—
    Sun 9:30 AM
    85%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -562
    DNP
  16. 16Bayern Munich
    Joshua Kimmich
    Bayern Munich2–1SV Elversberg
    Sun 11:30 AM
    84%
    Books -300
    +9.0%MatchWiz -525
    ✓ 1
  17. 17Bayern Munich
    Thomas Müller
    Bayern Munich2–1SV Elversberg
    Sun 11:30 AM
    84%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -507
    DNP
  18. 18RB Leipzig
    Rocco Reitz
    RB Leipzig5–0Hamburg SV
    Sun 9:30 AM
    83%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -494
    DNP
  19. 19Bayern Munich
    Konrad Laimer
    Bayern Munich2–1SV Elversberg
    Sun 11:30 AM
    82%
    Books -500
    -1.6%MatchWiz -449
    DNP
  20. 20
    Leroy Sané
    —v—
    Sun 11:30 AM
    82%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -447
    DNP
  21. 21Hamburg SV
    Fabio Vieira
    Hamburg SV0–5RB Leipzig
    Sun 9:30 AM
    79%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -388
    ✗ 0
  22. 22RB Leipzig
    Assan Ouédraogo
    RB Leipzig5–0Hamburg SV
    Sun 9:30 AM
    79%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -385
    ✓ 1
  23. 23
    Xavi Simons
    —v—
    Sun 9:30 AM
    79%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -375
    DNP
  24. 24RB Leipzig
    Ezechiel Banzuzi
    RB Leipzig5–0Hamburg SV
    Sun 9:30 AM
    76%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -325
    ✗ 0
  25. 25
    Lutsharel Geertruida
    —v—
    Sun 9:30 AM
    76%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -314
    DNP
  26. 26Bayern Munich
    Raphaël Guerreiro
    Bayern Munich2–1SV Elversberg
    Sun 11:30 AM
    75%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -296
    DNP
  27. 27
    Xaver Schlager
    —v—
    Sun 9:30 AM
    73%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -267
    DNP
  28. 28RB Leipzig
    Ridle Baku
    RB Leipzig5–0Hamburg SV
    Sun 9:30 AM
    72%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -260
    ✗ 0
  29. 29RB Leipzig
    Antonio Nusa
    RB Leipzig5–0Hamburg SV
    Sun 9:30 AM
    72%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -253
    ✓ 2
  30. 30
    Benjamin Sesko
    —v—
    Sun 9:30 AM
    70%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -237
    DNP
  31. 31RB Leipzig
    Kosta Nedeljkovic
    RB Leipzig5–0Hamburg SV
    Sun 9:30 AM
    70%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -237
    DNP
  32. 32Hamburg SV
    Albert Grønbaek
    Hamburg SV0–5RB Leipzig
    Sun 9:30 AM
    69%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -227
    ✗ 0
  33. 33Bayern Munich
    Hiroki Ito
    Bayern Munich2–1SV Elversberg
    Sun 11:30 AM
    69%
    Books -140
    +10.7%MatchWiz -223
    DNP
  34. 34Bayern Munich
    Sacha Boey
    Bayern Munich2–1SV Elversberg
    Sun 11:30 AM
    68%
    Books -250
    -3.0%MatchWiz -217
    DNP
  35. 35Bayern Munich
    Nathaniel Brown
    Bayern Munich2–1SV Elversberg
    Sun 11:30 AM
    68%
    Books -1500
    -26.2%MatchWiz -208
    ✓ 1
  36. 36
    El Chadaille Bitshiabu
    —v—
    Sun 9:30 AM
    66%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -190
    DNP
  37. 37Bayern Munich
    Bara Sapoko Ndiaye
    Bayern Munich2–1SV Elversberg
    Sun 11:30 AM
    66%
    Books -3000
    -31.2%MatchWiz -190
    DNP
  38. 38
    Luka Vuskovic
    —v—
    Sun 9:30 AM
    63%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -169
    DNP
  39. 39Bayern Munich
    Aleksandar Pavlovic
    Bayern Munich2–1SV Elversberg
    Sun 11:30 AM
    62%
    Books -300
    -12.6%MatchWiz -166
    ✓ 3
  40. 40Hamburg SV
    Robert Glatzel
    Hamburg SV0–5RB Leipzig
    Sun 9:30 AM
    62%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -164
    DNP
  41. 41Bayern Munich
    Dayot Upamecano
    Bayern Munich2–1SV Elversberg
    Sun 11:30 AM
    62%
    Books -140
    +3.2%MatchWiz -160
    ✓ 1
  42. 42Hamburg SV
    William Mikelbrencis
    Hamburg SV0–5RB Leipzig
    Sun 9:30 AM
    59%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -146
    DNP
  43. 43RB Leipzig
    Johan Bakayoko
    RB Leipzig5–0Hamburg SV
    Sun 9:30 AM
    59%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -145
    DNP
  44. 44RB Leipzig
    Willi Orbán
    RB Leipzig5–0Hamburg SV
    Sun 9:30 AM
    59%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -142
    ✓ 3
  45. 45RB Leipzig
    David Raum
    RB Leipzig5–0Hamburg SV
    Sun 9:30 AM
    59%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -141
    ✓ 1
  46. 46Bayern Munich
    Kingsley Coman
    Bayern Munich2–1SV Elversberg
    Sun 11:30 AM
    58%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -135
    DNP
  47. 47Hamburg SV
    Nicolás Capaldo
    Hamburg SV0–5RB Leipzig
    Sun 9:30 AM
    57%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -131
    ✓ 1
  48. 48Hamburg SV
    Albert Sambi Lokonga
    Hamburg SV0–5RB Leipzig
    Sun 9:30 AM
    56%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -127
    ✗ 0
  49. 49
    Loïs Openda
    —v—
    Sun 9:30 AM
    56%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -126
    DNP
  50. 50RB Leipzig
    Nicolas Seiwald
    RB Leipzig5–0Hamburg SV
    Sun 9:30 AM
    55%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -120
    DNP
  51. 51Bayern Munich
    Kim Min-Jae
    Bayern Munich2–1SV Elversberg
    Sun 11:30 AM
    53%
    Books -135
    -4.2%MatchWiz -114
    ✗ 0
  52. 52SV Elversberg
    Cole Campbell
    SV Elversberg1–2Bayern Munich
    Sun 11:30 AM
    53%
    Books -425
    -28.1%MatchWiz -112
    ✓ 1
  53. 53Bayern Munich
    Jonathan Tah
    Bayern Munich2–1SV Elversberg
    Sun 11:30 AM
    53%
    Books -140
    -5.8%MatchWiz -111
    DNP
  54. 54RB Leipzig
    Max Finkgrafe
    RB Leipzig5–0Hamburg SV
    Sun 9:30 AM
    52%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -109
    ✗ 0
  55. 55
    Péter Gulácsi
    —v—
    Sun 9:30 AM
    52%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -107
    DNP
  56. 56RB Leipzig
    Arthur Vermeeren
    RB Leipzig5–0Hamburg SV
    Sun 9:30 AM
    51%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -104
    DNP
  57. 57Hamburg SV
    Bakery Jatta
    Hamburg SV0–5RB Leipzig
    Sun 9:30 AM
    50%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -101
    ✗ 0
  58. 58
    Conrad Harder
    —v—
    Sun 9:30 AM
    50%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +101
    DNP
  59. 59RB Leipzig
    Tidiam Gomis
    RB Leipzig5–0Hamburg SV
    Sun 9:30 AM
    49%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +104
    ✓ 1
  60. 60RB Leipzig
    Kevin Kampl
    RB Leipzig5–0Hamburg SV
    Sun 9:30 AM
    49%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +106
    DNP
  61. 61Bayern Munich
    Alphonso Davies
    Bayern Munich2–1SV Elversberg
    Sun 11:30 AM
    48%
    Books -300
    -27.3%MatchWiz +109
    ✓ 2
  62. 62Hamburg SV
    Otto Stange
    Hamburg SV0–5RB Leipzig
    Sun 9:30 AM
    47%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +112
    ✗ 0
  63. 63Hamburg SV
    Miro Muheim
    Hamburg SV0–5RB Leipzig
    Sun 9:30 AM
    44%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +126
    DNP
  64. 64RB Leipzig
    Castello Lukeba
    RB Leipzig5–0Hamburg SV
    Sun 9:30 AM
    44%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +128
    ✗ 0
  65. 65Hamburg SV
    Nicolai Remberg
    Hamburg SV0–5RB Leipzig
    Sun 9:30 AM
    44%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +129
    ✓ 1
  66. 66Hamburg SV
    Jonas Meffert
    Hamburg SV0–5RB Leipzig
    Sun 9:30 AM
    44%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +129
    DNP
  67. 67Hamburg SV
    Aboubaka Soumahoro
    Hamburg SV0–5RB Leipzig
    Sun 9:30 AM
    44%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +129
    DNP
  68. 68Hamburg SV
    Philip Otele
    Hamburg SV0–5RB Leipzig
    Sun 9:30 AM
    38%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +163
    DNP
  69. 69Hamburg SV
    Jean-Luc Dompé
    Hamburg SV0–5RB Leipzig
    Sun 9:30 AM
    35%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +185
    DNP
  70. 70RB Leipzig
    Andrija Maksimovic
    RB Leipzig5–0Hamburg SV
    Sun 9:30 AM
    35%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +188
    DNP
  71. 71Bayern Munich
    Josip Stanisic
    Bayern Munich2–1SV Elversberg
    Sun 11:30 AM
    32%
    Books -140
    -26.2%MatchWiz +212
    ✓ 1
  72. 72
    Daniel Elfadli
    —v—
    Sun 9:30 AM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +229
    DNP
  73. 73Hamburg SV
    Warmed Omari
    Hamburg SV0–5RB Leipzig
    Sun 9:30 AM
    27%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +275
    ✗ 0
  74. 74
    Amadou Haidara
    —v—
    Sun 9:30 AM
    25%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +306
    DNP
  75. 75
    Fabio Baldé
    —v—
    Sun 9:30 AM
    24%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +311
    DNP
  76. 76Hamburg SV
    Damion Downs
    Hamburg SV0–5RB Leipzig
    Sun 9:30 AM
    24%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +322
    DNP
  77. 77Hamburg SV
    Jordan Torunarigha
    Hamburg SV0–5RB Leipzig
    Sun 9:30 AM
    19%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +427
    ✗ 0
  78. 78Hamburg SV
    Giorgi Gocholeishvili
    Hamburg SV0–5RB Leipzig
    Sun 9:30 AM
    17%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +481
    DNP
  79. 79Hamburg SV
    Daniel Heuer Fernandes
    Hamburg SV0–5RB Leipzig
    Sun 9:30 AM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    ✗ 0
  80. 80Bayern Munich
    Jonas Urbig
    Bayern Munich2–1SV Elversberg
    Sun 11:30 AM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    ✗ 0
  81. 81Bayern Munich
    Manuel Neuer
    Bayern Munich2–1SV Elversberg
    Sun 11:30 AM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP
  82. 82RB Leipzig
    Maarten Vandevoordt
    RB Leipzig5–0Hamburg SV
    Sun 9:30 AM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    ✗ 0

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).