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Bundesliga 1+ Shots Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Bundesliga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1Bayern Munich
    Harry Kane
    Bayern Munich7–01. FC Union Berlin
    Fri 2:30 PM
    100%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -9900
    ✓ 5
  2. 2Bayern Munich
    Luis Díaz
    Bayern Munich7–01. FC Union Berlin
    Fri 2:30 PM
    100%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -9900
    ✓ 2
  3. 3Bayern Munich
    Michael Olise
    Bayern Munich7–01. FC Union Berlin
    Fri 2:30 PM
    100%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -9900
    ✓ 6
  4. 4Bayern Munich
    Serge Gnabry
    Bayern Munich7–01. FC Union Berlin
    Fri 2:30 PM
    98%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -5012
    ✓ 1
  5. 5
    Nicolas Jackson
    —v—
    Fri 2:30 PM
    98%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -4124
    DNP
  6. 6
    Leon Goretzka
    —v—
    Fri 2:30 PM
    94%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -1590
    DNP
  7. 7Bayern Munich
    Lennart Karl
    Bayern Munich7–01. FC Union Berlin
    Fri 2:30 PM
    90%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -896
    DNP
  8. 8Bayern Munich
    Tom Bischof
    Bayern Munich7–01. FC Union Berlin
    Fri 2:30 PM
    88%
    Books -2000
    -6.9%MatchWiz -755
    ✓ 1
  9. 9Bayern Munich
    Jamal Musiala
    Bayern Munich7–01. FC Union Berlin
    Fri 2:30 PM
    88%
    Books -10000
    -10.7%MatchWiz -755
    ✓ 2
  10. 10
    Eric Dier
    —v—
    Fri 2:30 PM
    87%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -670
    DNP
  11. 111. FC Union Berlin
    Andrej Ilić
    1. FC Union Berlin0–7Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    87%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -659
    DNP
  12. 12Bayern Munich
    Joshua Kimmich
    Bayern Munich7–01. FC Union Berlin
    Fri 2:30 PM
    86%
    Books -475
    +3.3%MatchWiz -611
    ✗ 0
  13. 13Bayern Munich
    Aleksandar Pavlovic
    Bayern Munich7–01. FC Union Berlin
    Fri 2:30 PM
    85%
    Books -425
    +3.5%MatchWiz -545
    ✗ 0
  14. 14Bayern Munich
    Thomas Müller
    Bayern Munich7–01. FC Union Berlin
    Fri 2:30 PM
    84%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -529
    DNP
  15. 15Bayern Munich
    Ismael Saibari
    Bayern Munich7–01. FC Union Berlin
    Fri 2:30 PM
    84%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -520
    ✓ 4
  16. 16Bayern Munich
    Konrad Laimer
    Bayern Munich7–01. FC Union Berlin
    Fri 2:30 PM
    83%
    Books -650
    -4.0%MatchWiz -476
    DNP
  17. 17
    Leroy Sané
    —v—
    Fri 2:30 PM
    82%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -463
    DNP
  18. 181. FC Union Berlin
    Oliver Burke
    1. FC Union Berlin0–7Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    80%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -401
    DNP
  19. 19Bayern Munich
    Raphaël Guerreiro
    Bayern Munich7–01. FC Union Berlin
    Fri 2:30 PM
    75%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -307
    DNP
  20. 201. FC Union Berlin
    Jordan Pefok
    1. FC Union Berlin0–7Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    73%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -276
    DNP
  21. 211. FC Union Berlin
    Emmanuel Latte Lath
    1. FC Union Berlin0–7Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    71%
    Books -1100
    -20.5%MatchWiz -247
    ✗ 0
  22. 22Bayern Munich
    Hiroki Ito
    Bayern Munich7–01. FC Union Berlin
    Fri 2:30 PM
    70%
    Books -220
    +1.1%MatchWiz -232
    DNP
  23. 23Bayern Munich
    Sacha Boey
    Bayern Munich7–01. FC Union Berlin
    Fri 2:30 PM
    69%
    Books -450
    -12.5%MatchWiz -226
    DNP
  24. 241. FC Union Berlin
    Livan Burcu
    1. FC Union Berlin0–7Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    67%
    Books -475
    -16.1%MatchWiz -199
    ✗ 0
  25. 25Bayern Munich
    Bara Sapoko Ndiaye
    Bayern Munich7–01. FC Union Berlin
    Fri 2:30 PM
    67%
    Books -3000
    -30.2%MatchWiz -199
    DNP
  26. 26Bayern Munich
    Dayot Upamecano
    Bayern Munich7–01. FC Union Berlin
    Fri 2:30 PM
    65%
    Books -220
    -4.2%MatchWiz -182
    ✗ 0
  27. 27
    Danilho Doekhi
    —v—
    Fri 2:30 PM
    61%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -154
    DNP
  28. 281. FC Union Berlin
    Marin Ljubicic
    1. FC Union Berlin0–7Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    59%
    Books -650
    -27.9%MatchWiz -143
    DNP
  29. 29Bayern Munich
    Kingsley Coman
    Bayern Munich7–01. FC Union Berlin
    Fri 2:30 PM
    58%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -140
    DNP
  30. 30Bayern Munich
    Nathaniel Brown
    Bayern Munich7–01. FC Union Berlin
    Fri 2:30 PM
    58%
    Books -2000
    -37.1%MatchWiz -139
    ✗ 0
  31. 31Bayern Munich
    Alphonso Davies
    Bayern Munich7–01. FC Union Berlin
    Fri 2:30 PM
    56%
    Books -550
    -28.2%MatchWiz -130
    ✗ 0
  32. 321. FC Union Berlin
    Tom Rothe
    1. FC Union Berlin0–7Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    55%
    Books -130
    -2.0%MatchWiz -120
    ✓ 1
  33. 33
    Michel Aebischer
    —v—
    Fri 2:30 PM
    54%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -118
    ✗ 0
  34. 341. FC Union Berlin
    Robert Skov
    1. FC Union Berlin0–7Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    54%
    Books -475
    -29.0%MatchWiz -116
    DNP
  35. 35Bayern Munich
    Jonathan Tah
    Bayern Munich7–01. FC Union Berlin
    Fri 2:30 PM
    54%
    Books -220
    -15.3%MatchWiz -115
    ✓ 1
  36. 36Bayern Munich
    Kim Min-Jae
    Bayern Munich7–01. FC Union Berlin
    Fri 2:30 PM
    51%
    Books -145
    -7.8%MatchWiz -106
    ✗ 0
  37. 37
    Ilyas Ansah
    —v—
    Fri 2:30 PM
    50%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +100
    DNP
  38. 381. FC Union Berlin
    Leopold Querfeld
    1. FC Union Berlin0–7Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    49%
    Books -170
    -14.1%MatchWiz +105
    ✗ 0
  39. 391. FC Union Berlin
    Rani Khedira
    1. FC Union Berlin0–7Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    45%
    Books -160
    -16.6%MatchWiz +122
    ✗ 0
  40. 40
    Diogo Leite
    —v—
    Fri 2:30 PM
    44%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +126
    DNP
  41. 411. FC Union Berlin
    Aljoscha Kemlein
    1. FC Union Berlin0–7Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    44%
    Books -130
    -12.9%MatchWiz +129
    ✗ 0
  42. 421. FC Union Berlin
    Ivan Prtajin
    1. FC Union Berlin0–7Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    43%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +130
    DNP
  43. 431. FC Union Berlin
    Josip Juranovic
    1. FC Union Berlin0–7Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    42%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +137
    DNP
  44. 441. FC Union Berlin
    András Schäfer
    1. FC Union Berlin0–7Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    41%
    Books -210
    -27.2%MatchWiz +147
    ✗ 0
  45. 451. FC Union Berlin
    Jeong Woo-Yeong
    1. FC Union Berlin0–7Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    35%
    Books -370
    -43.3%MatchWiz +183
    ✗ 0
  46. 46Bayern Munich
    Josip Stanisic
    Bayern Munich7–01. FC Union Berlin
    Fri 2:30 PM
    35%
    Books -180
    -29.0%MatchWiz +183
    ✓ 1
  47. 471. FC Union Berlin
    Alex Král
    1. FC Union Berlin0–7Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +253
    DNP
  48. 481. FC Union Berlin
    Tim Skarke
    1. FC Union Berlin0–7Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    28%
    Books -650
    -58.8%MatchWiz +259
    ✗ 0
  49. 49
    Lucas Tousart
    —v—
    Fri 2:30 PM
    26%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +289
    DNP
  50. 501. FC Union Berlin
    Derrick Köhn
    1. FC Union Berlin0–7Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    24%
    Books -290
    -50.8%MatchWiz +324
    ✓ 1
  51. 511. FC Union Berlin
    Stanley N'Soki
    1. FC Union Berlin0–7Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    23%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +338
    DNP
  52. 521. FC Union Berlin
    Janik Haberer
    1. FC Union Berlin0–7Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    22%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +358
    ✓ 1
  53. 531. FC Union Berlin
    Christopher Trimmel
    1. FC Union Berlin0–7Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    19%
    Books +220
    -11.8%MatchWiz +414
    ✗ 0
  54. 54Bayern Munich
    Jonas Urbig
    Bayern Munich7–01. FC Union Berlin
    Fri 2:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP
  55. 55Bayern Munich
    Manuel Neuer
    Bayern Munich7–01. FC Union Berlin
    Fri 2:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    ✗ 0
  56. 561. FC Union Berlin
    Carl Klaus
    1. FC Union Berlin0–7Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP
  57. 571. FC Union Berlin
    Frederik Ronnow
    1. FC Union Berlin0–7Bayern Munich
    Fri 2:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    ✗ 0

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).