MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

Premier League 1+ Shots on Target Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots on target number — the sharper volume signal — hitting the target travels better than raw attempts. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Premier League props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1MNC
    Erling Haaland
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    78%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -358
  2. 2MNC
    Jérémy Doku
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    53%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -113
  3. 3MNC
    Phil Foden
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    47%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +111
  4. 4CRY
    Ismaïla Sarr
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    45%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +122
  5. 5CRY
    Jean-Philippe Mateta
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    43%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +131
  6. 6MNC
    Rayan Cherki
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    41%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +146
  7. 7CRY
    Eddie Nketiah
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    40%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +147
  8. 8MNC
    Tijjani Reijnders
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    39%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +159
  9. 9MNC
    Nico González
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    34%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +195
  10. 10MNC
    Josko Gvardiol
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +229
  11. 11
    Ilkay Gündogan
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    29%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +244
  12. 12CRY
    Yéremy Pino
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +251
  13. 13MNC
    Matheus Nunes
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +255
  14. 14
    Kevin De Bruyne
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +259
  15. 15CRY
    Daniel Muñoz
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +262
  16. 16
    Manuel Akanji
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    26%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +290
  17. 17CRY
    Adam Wharton
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    24%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +313
  18. 18
    Rodri
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    23%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +336
  19. 19CRY
    Daichi Kamada
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    23%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +342
  20. 20MNC
    Nico O'Reilly
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    22%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +355
  21. 21MNC
    Marc Guéhi
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    20%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +398
  22. 22
    Bernardo Silva
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    20%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +407
  23. 23MNC
    Rúben Dias
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    16%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +517
  24. 24CRY
    Nathaniel Clyne
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    16%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +528
  25. 25MNC
    Abdukodir Khusanov
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    14%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +601
  26. 26
    Oscar Bobb
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    14%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +604
  27. 27CRY
    Jefferson Lerma
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    14%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +617
  28. 28MNC
    Mateo Kovacic
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    13%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +655
  29. 29MNC
    Rayan Aït-Nouri
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    12%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +729
  30. 30CRY
    Tyrick Mitchell
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    11%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +809
  31. 31CRY
    Jaydee Canvot
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    11%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +812
  32. 32
    Maxence Lacroix
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    11%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +818
  33. 33CRY
    Chris Richards
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +941
  34. 34
    John Stones
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    8%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1175
  35. 35CRY
    Will Hughes
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1379
  36. 36
    Ben Chilwell
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1416
  37. 37MNC
    Nathan Aké
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    2%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +5674
  38. 38MNC
    Stefan Ortega
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  39. 39MNC
    Ederson
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  40. 40MNC
    Gianluigi Donnarumma
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  41. 41CRY
    Dean Henderson
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  42. 42
    James Trafford
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).