MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

Premier League 1+ Shots on Target Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots on target number — the sharper volume signal — hitting the target travels better than raw attempts. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Premier League props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1CHE
    Nicolas Jackson
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    56%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -128
  2. 2FUL
    Raúl Jiménez
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    55%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -122
  3. 3CHE
    Pedro Neto
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    52%
    Books +130
    +9.0%MatchWiz -110
    0
  4. 4FUL
    Alex Iwobi
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    52%
    Books +135
    +9.6%MatchWiz -109
    0
  5. 5FUL
    Rodrigo Muniz
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    49%
    Books -250
    -22.6%MatchWiz +105
    0
  6. 6CHE
    João Pedro
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    48%
    Books -260
    -24.5%MatchWiz +110
    ✓
  7. 7
    Harry Wilson
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    48%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +110
  8. 8CHE
    Enzo Fernández
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    43%
    Books -155
    -17.3%MatchWiz +130
    0
  9. 9CHE
    Liam Delap
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    43%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +133
  10. 10
    Alejandro Garnacho
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    42%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +140
  11. 11CHE
    Marc Guiu
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    35%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +189
  12. 12CHE
    Cole Palmer
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    34%
    Books -250
    -37.5%MatchWiz +195
    ✓
  13. 13FUL
    Emile Smith Rowe
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    31%
    Books -135
    -26.3%MatchWiz +221
    0
  14. 14FUL
    Ryan Sessegnon
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    31%
    Books +100
    -19.2%MatchWiz +225
    ✓
  15. 15
    Tyrique George
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +228
  16. 16FUL
    Sander Berge
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    28%
    Books +380
    +7.2%MatchWiz +257
    0
  17. 17CHE
    Moisés Caicedo
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    28%
    Books +200
    -5.7%MatchWiz +262
  18. 18
    Filip Jørgensen
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    23%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +330
  19. 19CHE
    Reece James
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    23%
    Books +190
    -11.7%MatchWiz +338
    ✓
  20. 20FUL
    Andreas Pereira
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    22%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +358
  21. 21
    Trevoh Chalobah
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    21%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +370
  22. 22
    Marc Cucurella
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    21%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +386
  23. 23
    Christopher Nkunku
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    20%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +390
  24. 24CHE
    Jamie Gittens
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    19%
    Books -155
    -41.6%MatchWiz +421
    0
  25. 25FUL
    Kevin
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    19%
    Books -155
    -42.2%MatchWiz +437
    0
  26. 26CHE
    Malo Gusto
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    17%
    Books +320
    -6.4%MatchWiz +474
    0
  27. 27CHE
    Levi Colwill
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    16%
    Books +370
    -5.3%MatchWiz +527
    0
  28. 28CHE
    Estêvão
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    15%
    Books -250
    -56.2%MatchWiz +558
    0
  29. 29
    Benoît Badiashile
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    15%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +564
  30. 30
    Sasa Lukic
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    14%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +604
  31. 31
    Samuel Chukwueze
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    14%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +605
  32. 32FUL
    Kenny Tete
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    13%
    Books +340
    -9.3%MatchWiz +647
    0
  33. 33FUL
    Jorge Cuenca
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    13%
    Books +600
    -1.3%MatchWiz +667
    0
  34. 34CHE
    Josh Acheampong
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    13%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +670
    0
  35. 35CHE
    Wesley Fofana
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    12%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +706
  36. 36
    Andrey Santos
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    12%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +743
  37. 37FUL
    Joachim Andersen
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    12%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +747
  38. 38
    Issa Diop
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    12%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +760
  39. 39CHE
    Romeo Lavia
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    12%
    Books +320
    -12.2%MatchWiz +761
    ✓
  40. 40FUL
    Calvin Bassey
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    11%
    Books +550
    -4.7%MatchWiz +838
    0
  41. 41FUL
    Tom Cairney
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +870
  42. 42CHE
    Jorrel Hato
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    8%
    Books +190
    -26.5%MatchWiz +1156
    0
  43. 43FUL
    Josh King
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    8%
    Books -145
    -51.3%MatchWiz +1177
    ✓
  44. 44FUL
    Willian
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    5%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1725
  45. 45FUL
    Antonee Robinson
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    4%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +2251
    0
  46. 46CHE
    Robert Sánchez
    CHE3–2FUL
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    0
  47. 47FUL
    Bernd Leno
    FUL2–3CHE
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    0

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).