MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

Premier League 1+ Shots Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Premier League props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1MNC
    Erling Haaland
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    96%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -2623
  2. 2MNC
    Phil Foden
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    89%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -846
  3. 3MNC
    Jérémy Doku
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    87%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -669
  4. 4CRY
    Ismaïla Sarr
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    82%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -452
  5. 5MNC
    Rayan Cherki
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    79%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -387
  6. 6MNC
    Tijjani Reijnders
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    79%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -379
  7. 7CRY
    Jean-Philippe Mateta
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    79%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -372
  8. 8CRY
    Yéremy Pino
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    75%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -302
  9. 9MNC
    Nico González
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    74%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -291
  10. 10CRY
    Eddie Nketiah
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    70%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -234
  11. 11
    Kevin De Bruyne
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    67%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -203
  12. 12MNC
    Matheus Nunes
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    66%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -191
  13. 13
    Ilkay Gündogan
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    64%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -175
  14. 14CRY
    Adam Wharton
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    62%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -163
  15. 15MNC
    Nico O'Reilly
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    62%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -162
  16. 16
    Manuel Akanji
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    61%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -158
  17. 17CRY
    Daichi Kamada
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    58%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -137
  18. 18
    Rodri
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    55%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -125
  19. 19
    Bernardo Silva
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    54%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -116
  20. 20MNC
    Josko Gvardiol
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    54%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -116
  21. 21CRY
    Nathaniel Clyne
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    52%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -109
  22. 22CRY
    Daniel Muñoz
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    52%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -108
  23. 23MNC
    Marc Guéhi
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    47%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +111
  24. 24CRY
    Jaydee Canvot
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    43%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +130
  25. 25MNC
    Rúben Dias
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    43%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +132
  26. 26MNC
    Abdukodir Khusanov
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    43%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +135
  27. 27
    Oscar Bobb
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    41%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +143
  28. 28CRY
    Jefferson Lerma
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    39%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +153
  29. 29
    Maxence Lacroix
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    39%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +157
  30. 30MNC
    Rayan Aït-Nouri
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    37%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +172
  31. 31MNC
    Mateo Kovacic
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    35%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +183
  32. 32CRY
    Chris Richards
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    33%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +203
  33. 33CRY
    Tyrick Mitchell
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    31%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +227
  34. 34CRY
    Will Hughes
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    23%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +328
  35. 35
    John Stones
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    22%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +348
  36. 36
    Ben Chilwell
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    19%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +429
  37. 37MNC
    Nathan Aké
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    15%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +570
  38. 38MNC
    Stefan Ortega
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  39. 39MNC
    Ederson
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  40. 40
    James Trafford
    —v—
    Fri 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  41. 41MNC
    Gianluigi Donnarumma
    MNCvCRY
    Fri 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  42. 42CRY
    Dean Henderson
    CRYvMNC
    Fri 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).